Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Ajaccio		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	1.25	5	8.5	Watch
	1.3	4.8	11
	1.28	4.6	11.5
	1.29	4.7	9.8
	1.3	5.21	12.86
	1.25	4.6	15	Watch
	1.29	5.1	13.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.66)	4.86 ↑ (3.4)	11.7 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
72.8%

Draw
19.2%

Le Havre
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

27.3%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

27.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajaccio's performance.

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Le Havre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajaccio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Le Havre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	3.3%	13.3%

Ajaccio - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: Ajaccio will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 6).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 2 (58.55%), has project points - 72, has currently - 68, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (62%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 7 (30.11%), has project points - 53, has currently - 50, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of promoted.

This event has quality 31, importance 50, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0.

Ajaccio in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Le Havre is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ajaccio is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ajaccio to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
22.04.22	Valenciennes - Ajaccio	0:0 ✺
19.04.22	Ajaccio - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
16.04.22	Dijon - Ajaccio	0:3 ✺
09.04.22	Ajaccio - Pau	2:1 ✺
04.04.22	Nancy - Ajaccio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWW
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
22.04.22	Le Havre - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
19.04.22	Amiens - Le Havre	0:2 ✺
16.04.22	Valenciennes - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Le Havre - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
02.04.22	Pau - Le Havre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
11.12.21	Le Havre - Ajaccio	0:1
10.04.21	Le Havre - Ajaccio	1:1
07.12.20	Ajaccio - Le Havre	1:1
26.07.19	Ajaccio - Le Havre	2:2
15.03.19	Le Havre - Ajaccio	3:1
19.10.18	Ajaccio - Le Havre	3:2
French Ligue 1
20.05.18	Ajaccio - Le Havre	3:2 penalties

Upcoming Matches