Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lyon		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	1.42	5	6
	1.44	5	6.25
	1.45	5	6.5	Watch
	1.44	5.18	6.53
	1.46	5.19	5.85	Watch
	1.44	4.8	6.5
	1.49	5.28	6.42
	1.46	5.05	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	5.06 ↑ (4)	6.33 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
66%

Draw
18.9%

Beşiktaş
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23.2%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

22.2%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyon's performance.

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.9%	1.4%	6.8%

Lyon - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (68 of 74 users predict this - 91.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.67% – 98.11%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lucas Perri (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 19. Niakhate M. 22. Clinton Mata 3. Tagliafico N. 18. Cherki R. 8. Tolisso C. 15. Tessmann T. 17. Benrahma S. 10. Lacazette A. (C) 37. Nuamah E.	30. Destanoglu E. (C) 2. Svensson J. 14. Uduokhai F. 53. Topcu E. 26. Masuaku A. 73. Ndour C. 83. Fernandes G. 18. Joao Mario 27. Rafa Silva 23. Muci E. 17. Immobile C.
Substitutes
16. Abner 55. Caleta-Car D. 6. Caqueret M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 11. Fofana M. 20. Kumbedi S. 31. Matic N. 69. Mikautadze G. 27. Omari W. 9. Orban G. 7. Veretout J. 12. Zaha W.	6. Al Musrati 94. Baytekin G. (G) 4. Bulut O. 91. Hekimoglu M. 77. Keles C. 19. Kilic A. 9. Kilicsoy S. 5. Sanuc T. T. 79. Terzi E. 8. Ucan S. 96. Yasar E. (G) 22. Zaynutdinov B.
Coaches
Sage P.	van Bronckhorst G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Topcu E. 🟨,
41', Tolisso C. 🟨,
45+6', Masuaku A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Tessmann T. 🟨,
65', Tessmann T. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
65', Benrahma S. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
66', Muci E. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
70', Joao Mario 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Fernandes G. ⚽, Rafa Silva (A),
72', Nuamah E. ↓, Zaha W. ↑,
79', Cherki R. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
79', Lacazette A. ↓, Orban G. ↑,
83', Destanoglu E. 🟨,
84', Rafa Silva 🟨,
84', Kilicsoy S. 🟨,
86', Joao Mario ↓, Al Musrati ↑,
86', Immobile C. ↓, Bulut O. ↑,
90+6', Fernandes G. ↓, Ucan S. ↑,

Preview

Lyon in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Beşiktaş is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lyon is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Al Musrati (Muscle Injury) Rashica M. (Muscle Injury) Uysal N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lyon: Matic N. (Injury) Molebe E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Destanoglu E. (Muscle Injury) Gabriel Paulista (Thigh Injury)

Our prediction for today's Lyon to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lyon won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
20.10.24	Le Havre - Lyon	0:4 ✺
06.10.24	Lyon - Nantes	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Glasgow Rangers - Lyon	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
29.09.24	Toulouse - Lyon	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Lyon - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
20.10.24	Beşiktaş - Konyaspor	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Gaziantep - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Beşiktaş - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
30.09.24	Kayserispor - Beşiktaş	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Ajax - Beşiktaş	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.04.17	Beşiktaş - Lyon	2:2 penalties
13.04.17	Lyon - Beşiktaş	2:1

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