Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Tupras Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
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Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	RTL, RTL+
Hungary	RTL+
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Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
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North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
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Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 9, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, RTL, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	Flow Sports 1, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
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International	Disney+, VIX App


	Beşiktaş		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.15
	3	3.6	2.2
	3.15	3.7	2.18
	3.24	3.71	2.2
	3.15	3.74	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.7	2.2
	3.21	3.93	2.23
	3.2	3.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.6)	3.72 ↑ (3.2)	2.19 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
30.5%

Draw
25.8%

Eintracht Frankfurt
43.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

28.8%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eintracht Frankfurt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eintracht Frankfurt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	28%	48%

Beşiktaş - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Beşiktaş will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Eintracht will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 30% – 70%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Destanoglu E. (C) 2. Svensson J. 3. Gabriel Paulista 14. Uduokhai F. 26. Masuaku A. 83. Fernandes G. 73. Ndour C. 7. Rashica M. 27. Rafa Silva 23. Muci E. 17. Immobile C.	40. Kaua Santos (G) 13. Kristensen R. 4. Koch R. (C) 3. Theate A. 29. Nkounkou N. 26. Dina Ebimbe J. 16. Larsson H. 18. Dahoud M. 7. Marmoush O. 27. Gotze M. 9. Matanovic I.
Substitutes
94. Baytekin G. (G) 4. Bulut O. 91. Hekimoglu M. 18. Joao Mario 77. Keles C. 9. Kilicsoy S. 71. Onana J. 5. Sanuc T. 79. Terzi E. 53. Topcu E. 8. Ucan S. 22. Zaynutdinov B.	5. Amenda A. 19. Bahoya J. 8. Chaibi F. 22. Chandler T. 34. Collins N. 11. Ekitike H. 47. Fenyo N. 33. Grahl J. (G) 36. Knauff A. 43. Ramming N. (G) 15. Skhiri E. 20. Uzun C. Y.
Coaches
van Bronckhorst G.	Toppmoller D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Uduokhai F. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Marmoush O. (Pen),
22', 0 - 2, Dina Ebimbe J. ⚽, Koch R. (A),
27', Immobile C. (Pen),
34', Immobile C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gotze M. ↓, Chaibi F. ↑,
48', Koch R. 🟨,
56', Ndour C. 🟨,
62', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
62', Marmoush O. ↓, Ekitike H. ↑,
63', Rashica M. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
63', Svensson J. ↓, Bulut O. ↑,
67', Nkounkou N. 🟨,
74', Larsson H. ↓, Skhiri E. ↑,
77', Fernandes G. ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
77', Ndour C. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Knauff A. ⚽, Matanovic I. (A),
85', Immobile C. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
85', Nkounkou N. ↓, Amenda A. ↑,
90+2', Ekitike H. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 3, Masuaku A. ⚽, Muci E. (A),

Preview

Beşiktaş is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Eintracht is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Eintracht could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Uysal N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Eintracht: Ekitike H. (Leg Injury) Hojlund O. (Inactive) Loune M. (Knee Injury) Trapp K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Eintracht: Koch R. (Hip Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
30.09.24	Kayserispor - Beşiktaş	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Ajax - Beşiktaş	4:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.09.24	Beşiktaş - Eyüpspor	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Beşiktaş - Sivasspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWTW
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
29.09.24	Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Viktoria Plzeň	3:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.09.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWWW

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