Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lyon		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.25
	2.15	3.6	3.1
	2.2	3.75	3.1	Watch
	2.19	3.76	3.24
	2.15	3.73	3.15	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.2
	2.23	3.81	3.29
	2.22	3.8	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.15)	3.69 ↑ (3.15)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
43.9%

Draw
25.9%

Eintracht Frankfurt
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

31%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	18.4%	13.2%

Lyon - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 25 - 67.6%). Eintracht will win (votes: 5 - 13.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 18.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 52.5% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lucas Perri (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 19. Niakhate M. 55. Caleta-Car D. 3. Tagliafico N. 8. Tolisso C. 31. Matic N. 18. Cherki R. 11. Fofana M. 10. Lacazette A. (C) 37. Nuamah E.	1. Trapp K. (C) 34. Collins N. 35. Tuta 4. Koch R. 3. Theate A. 36. Knauff A. 27. Gotze M. 18. Dahoud M. 29. Nkounkou N. 11. Ekitike H. 8. Chaibi F.
Substitutes
16. Abner 17. Benrahma S. 6. Caqueret M. 22. Clinton Mata 40. Descamps R. (G) 34. Diawara M. 20. Kumbedi S. 69. Mikautadze G. 29. Molebe E. 27. Omari W. 15. Tessmann T. 7. Veretout J.	19. Bahoya J. 22. Chandler T. 38. Is E. 40. Kaua Santos (G) 13. Kristensen R. 7. Marmoush O. 9. Matanovic I. 42. Siljevic A. (G) 15. Skhiri E. 20. Uzun C. Y.
Coaches
Sage P.	Toppmoller D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Nkounkou N. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Knauff A. ⚽, Ekitike H. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Cherki R. ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Nkounkou N. ↓, Kristensen R. ↑,
46', Tuta ↓, Skhiri E. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Fofana M. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
54', 3 - 1, Nuamah E. ⚽, Cherki R. (A),
57', Koch R. 🟨,
61', Lacazette A. 🟨,
63', Gotze M. ↓, Uzun C. Y. ↑,
63', Chaibi F. ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,
69', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
72', Nuamah E. ↓, Veretout J. ↑,
72', Cherki R. ↓, Benrahma S. ↑,
74', Ekitike H. 🟨,
76', Toppmoller D. 🟨,
79', Knauff A. ↓, Bahoya J. ↑,
80', Marmoush O. 🟨,
81', Tolisso C. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
81', Tagliafico N. ↓, Abner ↑,
81', Lacazette A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Marmoush O. ⚽, Uzun C. Y. (A),
90', Kristensen R. 🟨,
90', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
90+3', Collins N. 🟨,
90+7', Fofana M. 🟨,
90+7', Niakhate M. 🟨,
90+7', Toppmoller D. 🟥,

Preview

Lyon in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Eintracht is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lyon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lyon will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lyon: Benrahma S. (Thigh Injury) Diawara M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Eintracht: Amenda A. (Ankle Injury) Larsson H. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
07.12.24	Angers - Lyon	0:3 ✺
01.12.24	Lyon - Nice	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Lyon	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
23.11.24	Reims - Lyon	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Lyon - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWTW
- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
07.12.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	2:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.12.24	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.12.24	Heidenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Midtjylland - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
23.11.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWWW

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