Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 37

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)


	Málaga		Antequera

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5.5
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.63	3.75	5
	1.62	3.74	5.51
	1.63	3.74	5.51
	1.61	3.69	5.34
	1.6	3.45	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.75)	3.62 ↑ (3.32)	5.32 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
57.3%

Draw
25.4%

Antequera
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27.6%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

30%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Málaga - Antequera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 3. Puga C. 20. Monte N. 5. Juande 14. Garcia V. 16. Rodriguez G. 12. Molina M. 10. Larrubia D. 22. Lorenzo D. 7. Ferreiro D. 19. Fernandez Jaen R.	1. Moreno I. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 12. Fomeyem F. 4. Humanes D. 22. Ruiz F. 17. Garcia A. 10. Nunez C. 23. Hidalgo A. 7. Alba T. 20. Luismi Gutierrez 9. Redondo L.
Substitutes
9. Aviles J. 26. Cordero A. 17. Dioni 2. Gabilondo J. 4. Galilea E. 8. Juanpe 13. Lopez C. (G) 25. Murillo D. 35. Ochoa A. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L. 11. Villodres K.	13. Gallego A. (G) 24. Holm A. (G) 18. Ilahude D. 16. Marin A. 5. Mena P. 11. Mukai A. 14. Pais N. 6. Pavon A. 15. Prats P. 21. Socorro J. 19. Sousa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Larrubia D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Garcia A. ↓, Prats P. ↑,
46', Alba T. ↓, Ilahude D. ↑,
71', Lorenzo D. ↓, Villodres K. ↑,
71', Ferreiro D. ↓, Sangalli L. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Sangalli L. ⚽,
75', Ruiz F. ↓, Socorro J. ↑,
77', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
77', Rodriguez G. ↓, Dioni ↑,
78', Hidalgo A. ↓, Sousa C. ↑,
83', Larrubia D. ↓, Aviles J. ↑,
89', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90', Redondo L. 🟨,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Málaga is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Málaga is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Málaga won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.05.24	San Fernando - Málaga	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Málaga - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Córdoba - Málaga	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Málaga - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Atlético Madrid B - Málaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLTW
- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.05.24	Antequera - Real Murcia	0:2 ✺
05.05.24	Ceuta - Antequera	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Antequera - Ibiza	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Algeciras - Antequera	2:3 ✺
14.04.24	Antequera - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Antequera - Málaga	0:2
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Málaga - Antequera	2:1
04.08.18	Antequera - Málaga	0:3

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