Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Romano Jose Fouto (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, TV Canaria


	Mérida AD		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	3.4	3.2	2.05
	3.43	3.25	2.1
	3.46	3.29	2.1	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.05
	3.42	3.15	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (3.59)	3.17 ↓ (3.36)	2.05 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
26.7%

Draw
28.8%

Tenerife
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27.7%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.3%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Mérida AD - Tenerife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Csenterics A. (G) 20. Jacobo R. 5. Dominguez J. 3. Lancho J. 22. Rivas M. 10. Doncel C. 6. Geovanny 8. Solar M. 16. Capitas M. 7. Chiqui 14. El Ftouhi S.	1. Martin D. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 12. Landazuri A. 3. Aguero F. 19. Alvarez C. 29. Fernandez D. 6. Juanjo 16. Sanz A. 11. Mesa M. 18. Enric 14. Lopez N.
Substitutes
11. Areso J. 13. Cacharron P. (G) 18. Dibrani B. 26. Gil A. (G) 12. Gomes R. 9. Hallsson S. 17. Herranz Corral V. 15. Martinez G. 23. Verges E.	17. Balde M. 9. de Miguel J. 15. Fabricio 4. Leon J. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 28. Sabina F. 27. Ulloa A. 5. Yaakobishvili A. 34. Ybarra J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Jacobo R. 🟨,
29', Sanz A. 🟨,
35', Geovanny 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rivas M. ↓, Verges E. ↑,
59', Jacobo R. 🟨,
64', Capitas M. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
64', Chiqui ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
64', Geovanny ↓, Herranz Corral V. ↑,
69', Aguero F. 🟨,
72', Lopez N. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
72', Mesa M. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, de Miguel J. ⚽,
79', Doncel C. ↓, Hallsson S. ↑,
79', Solar M. ↓, Dibrani B. ↑,
86', Juanjo ↓, Ybarra J. ↑,
86', Fernandez D. ↓, Fabricio ↑,
90+2', Sanz A. 🟨,
90+3', de Miguel J. 🟨,
90+4', Enric ↓, Ulloa A. ↑,
90+11', 1 - 1, Herranz Corral V. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tenerife could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mérida AD won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	AD Merida	6	2	0	4	9:11	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Tenerife - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.46%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.04.26	Ponferradina - Mérida AD	4:1 ✺
28.03.26	Mérida AD - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Mérida AD - CD Guadalajara	1:4 ✺
07.03.26	Mérida AD - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTLT
- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.04.26	Tenerife - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Talavera de la Reina - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Tenerife - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Celta de Vigo B - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Tenerife - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.09.25	Tenerife - Mérida AD	3:0

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