Match Info

I Liqa - Round 15

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	MOIK Baku		Səbail

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.82	Watch
	4.02	3.36	1.78
	3.65	3.26	1.95	Watch
	3.88	3.58	1.84	Watch
	3.75	3.25	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (4.05)	3.35 ↓ (3.7)	1.84 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MOIK Baku
23.7%

Draw
27%

Səbail
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.3%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MOIK Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Səbail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

MOIK Baku - Səbail Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Soltanov B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Səbail might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, MOIK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, MOIK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sabail	3	2	1	0	4:2	2	7
5	MOIK Baku	3	1	1	1	3:2	1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MOIK Baku
Azerbaijan First Division
12.02.26	Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Cəbrayıl - MOIK Baku	2:2 ✺
25.12.25	MOIK Baku - Şəfa	0:2 ✺
17.12.25	Zagatala - MOIK Baku	1:3 ✺
10.12.25	MOIK Baku - Shimal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTLWW
- Səbail FK
Azerbaijan First Division
12.02.26	Səbail - Şəfa	0:0 ✺
05.02.26	Zagatala - Səbail	0:1 ✺
24.12.25	Səbail - Shimal	3:4 ✺
18.12.25	Shahdag Qusar - Səbail	2:2 ✺
11.12.25	Səbail - Difai Ağsu	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
05.11.25	Səbail - MOIK Baku	1:0
Azerbaijan Cup
22.11.22	MOIK Baku - Səbail	0:4

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