The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
MVV Maastricht 30.9%
Draw 26.4%
Telstar 42.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
25.2%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
25.7%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
11.1%
22.2%
MVV Maastricht - Telstar Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Telstar will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Maastricht: 35.9% โ 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Matthys R. (G) 32. Zeegers T. 3. Aktas O. 20. Francis S. 34. Schenk L. 31. Kleinen M. 6. El Basri N. 29. Silva Timas I. 21. Esajas R. 7. Camil Mmaee 9. Braken S.
1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 21. Koswal D. 6. Bakker D. 25. Owusu T. 17. Rossen N. 4. Offerhaus G. 2. Hardeveld J. 9. El Kachati Y. 23. Hetli S. 10. Eddahchouri Z.
Coaches
Hermans E.
Correia A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Silva Timas I. ⚽, Braken S. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Braken S. ⚽, Zeegers T. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Hetli S. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
61', El Kachati Y. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
61', Owusu T. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
62', Koswal D. ↓, Dirks S. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Silva Timas I. ⚽, Camil Mmaee (A),
80', 4 - 1, Camil Mmaee ⚽, Kleinen M. (A),
81', Hardeveld J. ↓, van Ekeris R. ↑,
81', Hetli S. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
87', Esajas R. ↓, Buifrahi R. ↑,
87', Braken S. ↓, Slegers F. ↑,
90', Zeegers T. ↓, Librici A. ↑,
90+1', Francis S. ↓, Hofland M. ↑,
90+1', El Basri N. ↓, Penders S. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 1, Slegers F. ⚽,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 2.
Recent matches Maastricht is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Telstar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Maastricht could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Telstar will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32:26 (average 1.6:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Maastricht won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:5 (average 2.2:0.5).