Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday

Location: Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Jong Ajax		Telstar

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.9	2
	3.1	3.6	1.98
	3.25	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.26	3.97	2.08
	3.19	3.82	2.04	Watch
	3.1	3.7	2
	3.22	3.78	2.04	Watch
	3.25	3.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	3.78 ↑ (3.45)	2.03 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Ajax
29.2%

Draw
24.7%

Telstar
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.6%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

25.8%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Jong Ajax - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Telstar will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Jermoumi D. 3. Ugwu P. 4. Janse D. 5. Jetten L. 10. Steur S. 6. Verkuijl M. 8. Chourak N. 11. Wolff K. 9. Konadu D. 7. Faberski J.	1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 5. Dirks S. 6. Bakker D. 11. Noslin T. 4. Offerhaus G. 17. Rossen N. 2. Hardeveld J. 9. El Kachati Y. 10. Eddahchouri Z. 18. van Ekeris R.
Substitutes
15. Alders G. 22. Banel J. 23. Boerhout Y. 21. Kalokoh D. 18. Mokio J. 17. Oldenstam L. 12. Reverson P. (G) 19. Rijkhoff J. 20. Speksnijder R. 16. van de Pavert R.	28. Bodak T. (G) 16. den Haan J. 19. Hagedoorn S. 7. Hamdaoui M. 23. Hetli S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 14. Kaandorp M. 27. Kharchouch R. 21. Koswal D. 15. Lechkar A. 12. Overtoom T. 25. Owusu T.
Coaches
Peereboom F.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Konadu D. ⚽, Steur S. (A),
24', Dirks S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', van Ekeris R. ↓, Hamdaoui M. ↑,
46', Noslin T. ↓, Owusu T. ↑,
46', Verkuijl M. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
46', Konadu D. ↓, Rijkhoff J. ↑,
61', Faberski J. 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Koeman R. (Own goal),
65', Steur S. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
66', Jermoumi D. ↓, Alders G. ↑,
73', Hardeveld J. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
73', Dirks S. ↓, Overtoom T. ↑,
77', Mokio J. 🟨,
79', El Kachati Y. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
82', Chourak N. ↓, van de Pavert R. ↑,
83', Apau M. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Banel J. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong Ajax won 2.

Jong Ajax has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Telstar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Telstar will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Gooijer T. (Knee Injury) Rijkhoff J. (Knee Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Knock)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Jong Ajax won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 45:29 (average 2.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Jong Ajax won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25:12 (average 2.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Ajax
English Premier League International Cup
18.11.24	Nottingham Forest U21 - Jong Ajax	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.11.24	Emmen - Jong Ajax	4:2 ✺
01.11.24	Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo	0:1 ✺
25.10.24	Roda - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
21.10.24	Jong Ajax - ADO Den Haag	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLT
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.11.24	Telstar - VVV-Venlo	4:0 ✺
09.11.24	Roda - Telstar	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Telstar - Volendam	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
31.10.24	Telstar - Helmond Sport	3:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.10.24	Emmen - Telstar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.07.24	Jong Ajax - Telstar	5:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.02.24	Jong Ajax - Telstar	0:3
29.09.23	Telstar - Jong Ajax	3:2
07.04.23	Telstar - Jong Ajax	2:3
08.08.22	Jong Ajax - Telstar	1:1
23.01.22	Telstar - Jong Ajax	1:0
01.11.21	Jong Ajax - Telstar	3:0

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