Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 18

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday

Location: M-Scores Stadion (Dordrecht)

Referee: Puts K. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Dordrecht		Telstar

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.9	2.75
	2.2	3.75	2.7
	2.3	3.75	2.75	Watch
	2.29	4.04	2.8
	2.26	3.87	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.7	2.6
	2.29	3.78	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.1)	3.82 ↓ (3.88)	2.73 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
41.2%

Draw
24.5%

Telstar
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

24.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

24.6%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Dordrecht - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Telstar will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bossin L. (G) 16. Seydoux L. 3. Valk S. 4. van den Avert J. 5. Hilton J. 10. Schuurman J. (C) 8. Parlanti G. 21. Shein R. R. 28. Slory J. 9. Haen D. 7. Osundina K.	1. Koeman R. (G) 3. Apau M. (C) 5. Dirks S. 6. Bakker D. 25. Owusu T. 4. Offerhaus G. 17. Rossen N. 2. Hardeveld J. 9. El Kachati Y. 7. Hamdaoui M. 10. Eddahchouri Z.
Substitutes
17. Akmum R. 22. Amuzu J. 63. Biai C. (G) 2. Codutti L. 23. Darri B. 24. Igor 15. M'Bemba Y. 14. Olde Keizer C. 12. Tabiri K. 20. van der Sluijs J. 6. van Vianen D. 19. Zandbergen D.	23. Hetli S. 20. Houweling J. (G) 14. Kaandorp M. 27. Kharchouch R. 21. Koswal D. 11. Noslin T. 8. Turfkruier J. 18. van Ekeris R. 28. van Ingen L. I. (G)
Coaches
Boel M.	Correia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', El Kachati Y. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Eddahchouri Z. ⚽, Bakker D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Shein R. R. ↓, van Vianen D. ↑,
50', Apau M. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Valk S. ⚽, Schuurman J. (A),
60', 2 - 1, Osundina K. ⚽, Haen D. (A),
65', Owusu T. 🟨,
68', Owusu T. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
68', Hamdaoui M. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
68', Hardeveld J. ↓, Turfkruier J. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Schuurman J. ⚽,
76', Parlanti G. ↓, Tabiri K. ↑,
79', Offerhaus G. ↓, Kharchouch R. ↑,
81', Schuurman J. ↓, van der Sluijs J. ↑,
85', Osundina K. ↓, M'Bemba Y. ↑,
85', Slory J. ↓, Zandbergen D. ↑,
86', Rossen N. ↓, Koswal D. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Hetli S. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', Koswal D. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dordrecht won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Telstar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dordrecht will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Dordrecht: Kriwak R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Darri B. (Lacking Match Fitness) Scholte B. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Dordrecht won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 22:32 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Dordrecht won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1.1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.12.24	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	2:3 ✺
25.11.24	Dordrecht - FC Oss	2:2 ✺
22.11.24	MVV Maastricht - Dordrecht	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Dordrecht - Helmond Sport	4:0 ✺
01.11.24	De Graafschap - Dordrecht	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLWL
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.11.24	Telstar - Cambuur	2:2 ✺
22.11.24	Jong Ajax - Telstar	3:0 ✺
15.11.24	Telstar - VVV-Venlo	4:0 ✺
09.11.24	Roda - Telstar	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Telstar - Volendam	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.03.24	Dordrecht - Telstar	2:0
15.12.23	Telstar - Dordrecht	0:2
21.01.23	Dordrecht - Telstar	0:0
Club Friendly
03.12.22	Dordrecht - Telstar	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.10.22	Telstar - Dordrecht	2:2
18.03.22	Telstar - Dordrecht	1:0
17.09.21	Dordrecht - Telstar	0:1

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