The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
MVV Maastricht 19.3%
Draw 21%
Waalwijk 59.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.8%
23.2%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
22.5%
52.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Waalwijk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waalwijk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
MVV Maastricht - Waalwijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Westerveld S. (G) 32. Tran L. M. 24. Zaian A. 3. Dicke F. 4. Coomans W. 26. van Kempen M. 38. Klaasen R. 6. El Basri N. 8. Van Dessel S. 10. Silva Timas I. 9. Braken S. (C)
16. Spenkelink M. (G) 55. Held N. 4. van Gelderen L. (C) 15. Wouters L. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 7. Cleonise D. 14. Boetius J-P. 35. Postma L. 30. van der Veen Y. 20. Kuster H. 9. Uneken J.
Substitutes
28. Amgar A. 15. Beydts A. 29. de Jong T. 27. Foubert L. 2. Francis S. 18. Jashari L. 19. Pawirodihardjo J. 12. Poitoux T. (G) 39. Sy K. 23. van der Heijden S. (G) 11. Verheijen T.
19. Bakboord N. 26. Bramel T. (G) 29. Kramer M. 21. Schaapman M. 28. van Beekveld Q. 11. van der Leij T. 10. van der Venne R. 18. van Hedel R. 1. van Osch Y. (G) 25. Witteveen M.
Coaches
van den Berg P.
Duits S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', El Basri N. ↓, Jashari L. ↑,
24', 0 - 1, Uneken J. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Braken S. 🟨,
27', Zaian A. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Kuster H. ⚽, Postma L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Boetius J-P. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
46', van Kempen M. ↓, Beydts A. ↑,
46', Klaasen R. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
68', Jashari L. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, de Jong T. ⚽, Van Dessel S. (A),
73', 1 - 3, Held N. ⚽,
74', Cleonise D. ↓, Bakboord N. ↑,
80', Silva Timas I. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
86', Uneken J. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
90', Kuster H. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
90+2', Zaian A. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 0.
Maastricht has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Waalwijk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Waalwijk is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Maastricht: Breugelmans I.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R.
(Injury)
van Eijma R.
(Red Card)
van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Waalwijk: Zorgdrager B.
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
Watch
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Westerveld S. (G) 
Tran L. M. 
El Basri N. 
Silva Timas I. 
Held N. 
van Gelderen L. (C) 
Familia-Castillo J. 
Jashari L. 
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