The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
MVV Maastricht 20%
Draw 20.5%
Willem II 59.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.9%
23.7%
51.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.2%
23.1%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Willem II's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Willem II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
MVV Maastricht - Willem II Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Willem II will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Westerveld S. (G) 39. Sy K. 22. Breugelmans I. 4. Coomans W. 26. van Kempen M. 3. Dicke F. 38. Klaasen R. 18. Jashari L. 8. Van Dessel S. 11. Verheijen T. 9. Braken S. (C)
1. Didillon Hodl T. (G) 22. van Loon P. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. (C) 24. Tjoe a On N. 7. Doodeman N. 8. Twigt C. 18. Zarrouk A. 20. El Allouchi M. 9. Haen D. 28. Verheydt T.
Substitutes
15. Beydts A. 29. de Jong T. 6. El Basri N. 27. Foubert L. 2. Francis S. 37. Mansala Mpudi A. 19. Pawirodihardjo J. 12. Poitoux T. (G) 10. Silva Timas I. 32. Tran L. M. 23. van der Heijden S. (G) 24. Zaian A.
23. Abildgaard L. 47. Baartmans S. 17. Bamba S. 6. Besselink G. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 43. de Ruijter F. 48. Poortvliet J. 46. Scheepens K. 19. van Aalst U. 21. van der Steen W. (G)
Coaches
van den Berg P.
Stegeman J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Breugelmans I. (Own goal),
35', Verheijen T. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Verheydt T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Verheijen T. ↓, Silva Timas I. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Verheydt T. ⚽, El Allouchi M. (A),
59', 0 - 4, Doodeman N. ⚽, Verheydt T. (A),
61', Coomans W. 🟨,
62', 0 - 5, El Allouchi M. ⚽,
63', Klaasen R. ↓, Mansala Mpudi A. ↑,
63', Jashari L. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
66', Verheydt T. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
66', van Loon P. ↓, Scheepens K. ↑,
67', El Allouchi M. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
75', Breugelmans I. 🟨,
75', Zarrouk A. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,
75', Doodeman N. ↓, Abildgaard L. ↑,
78', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
82', Sy K. ↓, Tran L. M. ↑,
82', Coomans W. ↓, Zaian A. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 1.
Maastricht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Willem II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Willem II is the team to beat.
There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Schuurman J.
(Knock)
There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).