Match Info

Date: 15 May 2021, Saturday


	Mafra		Arouca

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.1	1.66
	5	3.1	1.72
	5.6	3.1	1.67
	4.8	3.45	1.68
	5.7	3.3	1.77
	5.25	3.2	1.75
	4.75	3.54	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↓ (5.72)	3.26 ↓ (3.36)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
17.7%

Draw
28.4%

Arouca
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

27.4%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

22.7%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arouca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mafra - Arouca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primeira Liga (Promotion)).

Recent matches Mafra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arouca is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Arouca is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mafra won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
08.05.21	Mafra - Académica Coimbra	2:2 ✺
01.05.21	Chaves - Mafra	1:1 ✺
24.04.21	Mafra - Covilhã	2:2 ✺
18.04.21	Oliveirense - Mafra	0:0 ✺
13.04.21	Mafra - Casa Pia	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTTTL
- FC Arouca
Portuguese Liga 2
09.05.21	Arouca - Casa Pia	2:1 ✺
03.05.21	Académica Coimbra - Arouca	0:1 ✺
25.04.21	Arouca - Vilafranquense	3:0 ✺
19.04.21	Covilhã - Arouca	1:2 ✺
11.04.21	Arouca - Oliveirense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
17.01.21	Arouca - Mafra	0:0
02.03.19	Mafra - Arouca	1:1
28.10.18	Arouca - Mafra	2:2

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