Match Info

Date: 25 April 2021, Sunday


	Arouca		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.3	7
	1.53	3.5	6.25
	1.55	3.5	5.6
	1.53	3.6	6.2
	1.55	3.97	7.05
	1.55	3.7	6.5
	1.57	3.64	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.58)	3.6 ↑ (3.52)	6.39 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arouca
59.9%

Draw
25.7%

Vilafranquense
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

26.2%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

21.6%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arouca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Arouca - Vilafranquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 15).

Arouca in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vilafranquense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arouca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arouca is indisputable favorite.

In this match Arouca is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arouca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arouca
Portuguese Liga 2
19.04.21	Covilhã - Arouca	1:2 ✺
11.04.21	Arouca - Oliveirense	3:0 ✺
03.04.21	Porto B - Arouca	0:3 ✺
27.03.21	Arouca - Feirense	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Vizela - Arouca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWWT
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
16.04.21	Vilafranquense - Leixões	0:2 ✺
11.04.21	Estoril Praia - Vilafranquense	3:1 ✺
04.04.21	Vilafranquense - Mafra	2:1 ✺
28.03.21	Académica Coimbra - Vilafranquense	0:0 ✺
23.03.21	Vilafranquense - Chaves	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
28.12.20	Vilafranquense - Arouca	2:0

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