Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Mainz		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	4.00	4.33
	1.65	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.66	4.18	4.11
	1.61	4.18	4.88	Watch
	1.62	4.1	3.7
	1.78	3.61	4.33	Watch
	1.58	4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.52)	4 ↓ (4.15)	4.34 ↓ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz
56%

Draw
22.9%

Holstein Kiel
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

22.6%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mainz's form might have worsened.

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holstein Kiel's recent form is better than expected.

Mainz - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Zentner R. (G) 19. Caci A. 21. da Costa D. 3. Gruber F. 31. Kohr D. (C) 11. Konigsdorffer R. 5. Martel E. 47. Nakuzola R. 8. Nebel P. 20. Ruoppi O. 9. Tietz P.	41. Rothenhagen L. (G) 17. Alidou F. 8. Balzi G. 11. Bernhardsson A. 9. Kvilitaia G. 28. Meffert J. (C) 13. Nekic I. 32. Sekine H. 10. Therkelsen J. 47. Tolkin J. 26. Zec D.
Substitutes
. Becker S. 16. Bell S. 14. Boving W. . Haidara A. 25. Hanche-Olsen A. 34. Imafidon D. 24. Kawasaki S. . Kinzig M. (G) 15. Maloney L. 23. Richter M. 17. Yamazaki T.	15. Davidsen K. 19. Harres P. 6. Ivezic M. 20. Kapralik A. 46. Medlin C. 40. Parduzi L. 34. Richter Monserrat M. 30. Tasdelen T. 27. Ugoh I. 1. Weiner T. (G) 33. Wiese L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Tietz P. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+9', 3 - 0, Boving W. ⚽,

Preview

Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mainz is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz 05
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Mainz - Kaiserslautern	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
16.05.26	Heidenheim - Mainz	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Mainz - Union Berlin	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	St. Pauli - Mainz	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Mainz - Bayern Munich	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL
- Holstein Kiel
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Swansea City - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
15.07.26	Holstein Kiel - Al-Ahli Jeddah	4:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
17.05.26	Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
05.04.25	Mainz - Holstein Kiel	1:1
24.11.24	Holstein Kiel - Mainz	0:3
German DFB Pokal
24.10.17	Mainz - Holstein Kiel	3:2 ET

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