The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maidenhead United 22.6%
Draw 24.6%
Gateshead 52.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
26%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
25.8%
45.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maidenhead United's form might have worsened.
Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gateshead's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maidenhead United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gateshead, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Maidenhead United - Gateshead Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ross C. (G) 23. Abrahams T. 25. Barratt S. 19. Cochrane O. 4. De Havilland W. 8. Ferguson N. 5. Lokko K. 9. McCoulsky S. 16. Pettit C. 17. Smith R. 22. Welch-Hayes M.
29. Mason O. (G) 8. Booty R. 4. Butterfield J. 19. Hannant L. 46. Jones D. 9. Oseni O. 16. Radcliffe B. 2. Tinkler R. 10. Whelan C. 28. Williams J. 11. Worman B.
Substitutes
32. Ajose J. 7. Carvalho R. 20. Clerima R. 1. Collins H. (G) 3. Dyce T. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 24. Massey A.
12. Adom K. 30. Bassey O. (G) 27. Home J. 45. Malcolm J. 37. Milmore C. 23. Newton T. 39. Thompson O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Lokko K. 🟥,
20', 0 - 1, Butterfield J. ⚽, Booty R. (A),
22', Barratt S. ↓, Massey A. ↑,
35', Welch-Hayes M. ↓, Clerima R. ↑,
45+5', 0 - 2, Massey A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', Oseni O. 🟨,
52', 0 - 3, Booty R. ⚽, Hannant L. (A),
56', Clerima R. ↓, Latty-Fairweather T. ↑,
59', 0 - 4, Whelan C. ⚽, Hannant L. (A),
62', Whelan C. ↓, Newton T. ↑,
62', Oseni O. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
64', Worman B. 🟨,
65', 0 - 5, Butterfield J. ⚽, Williams J. (A),
68', McCoulsky S. ↓, Ajose J. ↑,
71', Radcliffe B. ↓, Home J. ↑,
76', Hannant L. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
87', Williams J. ↓, Milmore C. ↑,
87', Smith R. ↓, Carvalho R. ↑,
89', 🟨,
89', Tinkler R. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 2.
Maidenhead is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Gateshead is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Gateshead is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:22 (average 0.6:2.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Maidenhead won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Maidenhead United - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.62%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.