Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Maidenhead United		Notts County

	1	X	2
	8	5.25	1.33
	7.25	5	1.3
	7.5	4.75	1.34
	7.8	5	1.31
	8.47	5.12	1.36
	8.5	4.5	1.32
	8.3	5.05	1.33
	8	5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.98 ↑ (5.63)	4.96 ↑ (4.09)	1.33 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
11.6%

Draw
18.7%

Notts County
69.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.2%

22.3%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

21.6%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Maidenhead United - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Maidenhead will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Notts County will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 1.

Recent matches Maidenhead is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Notts County is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Notts County is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Maidenhead won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League
03.12.22	Maidenhead United - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Maidstone United - Maidenhead United	3:2 ✺
19.11.22	Maidenhead United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	1:2 ✺
08.11.22	Yeovil Town - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWWT
- Notts County
English National League
03.12.22	Scunthorpe United - Notts County	1:4 ✺
19.11.22	Notts County - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
12.11.22	Eastleigh - Notts County	0:2 ✺
08.11.22	Southend United - Notts County	2:2 ✺
01.11.22	Notts County - Bromley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
06.08.22	Notts County - Maidenhead United	3:0
15.05.22	Maidenhead United - Notts County	0:1
18.09.21	Notts County - Maidenhead United	1:0
11.05.21	Maidenhead United - Notts County	0:4
17.10.20	Notts County - Maidenhead United	2:3
01.01.20	Maidenhead United - Notts County	0:0
26.12.19	Notts County - Maidenhead United	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League South
31.10.26	Maidenhead United - Dagenham & Redbridge	✺
- Notts County
English League One
31.10.26	Mansfield Town - Notts County	✺

Maidenhead United - Notts County