The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maidenhead United 11.6%
Draw 18.7%
Notts County 69.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.2%
22.3%
61.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.7%
21.6%
63.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.4%
0%
63.6%
Maidenhead United - Notts County Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Maidenhead will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Notts County will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 1.
Recent matches Maidenhead is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Notts County is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Notts County is absolute favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Maidenhead won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Maidenhead won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.