Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Alpamys Batyr (Atakent)

Referee: Moskovchenko G. (Kaz)


	Makhtaaral		Kaisar

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.7
	2.5	2.85	2.6
	2.28	3.12	2.9
	2.35	3	2.88
	2.38	3.04	3.08	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (3.17)	3.04 ↓ (3.27)	2.93 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Makhtaaral
39.2%

Draw
29.8%

Kaisar
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.2%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

27.8%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Makhtaaral has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Makhtaaral's performance.

Kaisar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaisar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Makhtaaral than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Makhtaaral that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaisar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Makhtaaral - Kaisar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayrapetyan A. (G) 10. Abdurakhmanov O. 21. Aripov D. (C) 12. Braga V. 96. Charleston 3. Dairov N. 9. Mukhamed A. 77. Pairuz Z. 8. Shramchenko A. 13. Tursynbay S. 5. Yudenkov R.	88. Sikachi S. V. (G) 21. Gorshunov E. 17. Kalmuratov K. 5. Kenesbek A. 29. Makhan O. 20. Milojko G. 18. Pryndeta V. 13. Sakhalbaev R. (C) 77. Sovpel V. 44. Zagre B. 10. Zhalmukan D.
Substitutes
31. Duyseshov S. 37. Imanali M. 35. Kalmykov N. (G) 81. Karimov R. 30. Kone D. 7. Newadzi S. 6. Parunashvili L. 14. Serikbay M. 91. Zhangaliev Z. (G)	7. Altynbekov E. 27. Bukhaidze G. 55. Ekra G. D. 47. Ghinaitis V. 14. Nurdaulet A. 34. Salaydin N. (G) 3. Tolegenov A. 8. Tuzakbayev A. 11. Zulfikarov B.
Coaches
Nurdauletov K.	Kumykov V.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Makhtaaral won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Makhtaaral won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Makhtaaral
Kazakh Premier League
01.07.23	Makhtaaral - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
25.06.23	Aktobe - Makhtaaral	1:1 ✺
04.06.23	Kaisar - Makhtaaral	0:2 ✺
27.05.23	Makhtaaral - Kairat	3:1 ✺
21.05.23	Tobol Kostanay - Makhtaaral	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 LTWWL
- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Premier League
01.07.23	Kaisar - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
25.06.23	Okzhetpes - Kaisar	0:1 ✺
04.06.23	Kaisar - Makhtaaral	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Kaisar - Aktobe	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Kairat - Kaisar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
04.06.23	Kaisar - Makhtaaral	0:2
Kazakh Cup
29.03.16	Makhtaaral - Kaisar	0:0

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