The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mallorca 55.8%
Draw 29.7%
Alcorcón 14.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.8%
30%
14.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
17.6%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Mallorca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-23.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mallorca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcorcón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64%
16%
20%
Mallorca - Alcorcón Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Alcorcón will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 45.2% – 82.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
No spectators.
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 17).
Mallorca has the most likely position - 2 (95.25%), has project points - 79, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very good chance of promoted (99%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Alcorcón has the most likely position - 17 (21.03%), has project points - 47, has currently - 43, has a chance of relegated (23%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Recent matches Mallorca is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Alcorcón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Mallorca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Mallorca is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Mallorca won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Mallorca won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.
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