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Current Win Probability
Málaga 22.3%
Draw 29.5%
Mallorca 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
29.9%
45.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
19.1%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-19.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mallorca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.2%
13.8%
69%
Málaga - Mallorca Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). Mallorca will win (votes: 20 - 69%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 52.2% – 85.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
Málaga has the most likely position - 12 (20.9%), has project points - 55, has currently - 49, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Mallorca has the most likely position - 2 (94.06%), has project points - 79, has currently - 71, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very good chance of promoted (96%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match Mallorca is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Málaga won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.