Match Info

CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Loftus Versfeld Stadium (Pretoria)

Referee: Ndala J. (Drc)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	SportKlub 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Morocco	SNRT Live
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	Sport TV1
Singapore	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-africa	SABC 1, SABC Plus, SuperSport Variety 4
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Mamelodi Sundowns		FAR Rabat

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.75
	1.72	3.1	4.5
	1.96	2.84	4.64
	1.78	3.25	4.99	Watch
	1.75	3	4.6
	1.79	3.28	4.79	Watch
	1.71	3.25	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.71)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	4.81 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
51.6%

Draw
29.3%

FAR Rabat
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

28.6%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

28.1%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

FAR Rabat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FAR Rabat than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Mamelodi Sundowns - FAR Rabat Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 4 - 80%). FAR Rabat will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - FAR Rabat (5.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. FAR Rabat (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Williams R. (C) 25. Mudau K. 24. Cupido K. 3. Ndamane K. 6. Modiba A. 4. Mokoena T. 16. Lethlaku K. 8. Adams J. 10. Santos N. 12. Leon B. 17. Matthews T.	16. Tagnaouti A. (G) 3. Bach A. 15. Louadni M. 5. Abdelhamid Y. 2. To Carneiro 10. Slim R. 8. Ouarkhane Alt K. 34. Hrimat M. (C) 11. Hammoudan A. 7. El Fahli Y. 40. Hadraf A.
Substitutes
11. Allende M. 9. Arthur Sales 37. Johannes K. 29. Lunga D. 28. Mdunyelwa Z. 35. Mothiba L. 1. Onyango D. (G) 14. Saleng M. 18. Zwane T.	27. Ait Khassou A. 9. Bouriga M. 23. Ech Chamakh J. 24. El Abd N. 1. El Khayati A. (G) 19. El Khfiyef J. E. 17. Khabba H. 26. Mbemba N. 14. Razko T.
Coaches
Cardoso M.	Santos A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Modiba A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Slim R. ↓, Mbemba N. ↑,
76', Lethlaku K. ↓, Saleng M. ↑,
76', Modiba A. ↓, Lunga D. ↑,
76', Hadraf A. ↓, Bouriga M. ↑,
80', Santos N. ↓, Allende M. ↑,
82', Mbemba N. 🟨,
89', Matthews T. ↓, Arthur Sales ↑,
90', Leon B. ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

FAR Rabat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Mamelodi Sundowns won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
12.05.26	TS Galaxy - Mamelodi Sundowns	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Siwelele	7:4 ✺
06.05.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Polokwane City	3:0 ✺
29.04.26	Polokwane City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTWW
- FAR Rabat
Moroccan Botola
10.05.26	Hassania Agadir - FAR Rabat	2:3 ✺
07.05.26	FAR Rabat - Olympic Safi	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	IR Tanger - FAR Rabat	0:0 ✺
30.04.26	FAR Rabat - Raja Casablanca	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Yacoub El Mansour - FAR Rabat	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
19.01.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - FAR Rabat	1:1
07.12.24	FAR Rabat - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1

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