Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday


	Mancha Real		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.2
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	2.8	3.15	2.32
	3.02	3.22	2.41
	2.95	3.13	2.31
	2.8	3.15	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.6)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.33 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mancha Real
31.8%

Draw
29%

UCAM Murcia
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.1%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

28.1%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Mancha Real - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Mancha Real is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UCAM Murcia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

UCAM Murcia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.09.22	Mancha Real - Utrera	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Juventud de Torremolinos - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Mancha Real - Vélez	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Xerez Deportivo - Mancha Real	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Mancha Real - Manchego	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLTWW
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.09.22	UCAM Murcia - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:2 ✺
18.09.22	Vélez - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo	3:0 ✺
04.09.22	Sevilla B - UCAM Murcia	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Atlético Madrid B - UCAM Murcia	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWLL

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