Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Villa Park (Birmingham) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	13:30	SuperSport 3
Argentina	08:30	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	15:30	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	22:30	Stan Sport
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	15:30	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	17:30	Toffee Live
Belgium	13:30	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	07:30	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	08:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	19:30	Migu
Croatia	13:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	14:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	13:30	Oneplay
Denmark	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Ecuador	06:30	ESPN
Estonia	14:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	14:30	Viaplay
France	13:30	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	15:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	14:30	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	19:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	13:30	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	11:30	SÝN Sport
India	17:00	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	18:30	Vidio
Israel	14:30	Sport 1
Italy	13:30	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	20:30	U-NEXT
Kenya	14:30	Gotv
Kosovo	13:30	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	17:30	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	14:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	19:30	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	16:30	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	13:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	05:30	TNT Sports
Moldova	14:30	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	18:00	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New Zealand	00:30	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	12:30	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	13:30	Arena Premium 1
Norway	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	06:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	19:30	Setanta Sports
Poland	13:30	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	12:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	14:30	Voyo
Serbia	13:30	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	19:30	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	13:30	Voyo
Slovenia	13:30	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	13:30	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	20:30	Coupang Play
Spain	13:30	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	19:30	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	16:30	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	14:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
Turkmenistan	16:30	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	14:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	12:30	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	16:30	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+, ESPN
Vietnam	18:30	FPT Play


	Aston Villa		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.5	1.62
	4.33	4.40	1.66
	4.6	4.55	1.62
	5.1	4.75	1.63
	4.7	4.47	1.68	Watch
	5	4.55	1.61
	4.89	4.59	1.62	Watch
	4.8	4.8	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (4.43)	4.58 ↑ (4.11)	1.63 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aston Villa
20.2%

Draw
21%

Manchester City
58.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.5%

23.2%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

26.5%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.5%	15%	67.5%

Aston Villa - Manchester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). Man City will win (votes: 26 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 51.9% – 81.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Man City (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Aston Villa (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.45) (votes: 94%) ⭐ Best Value.

Corners O/U 9.5 - over (2.02) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 1 - 20%). Man City (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Suzuki Z. (G) 2. Cash M. 3. Lindelof V. 14. Torres P. 22. Maatsen I. 8. Kamara B. 35. Joao Gomes 47. Alysson 7. McGinn J. (C) 44. Manzambi J. 11. Jackson N.	1. Donnarumma G. (G) 45. Khusanov A. 6. Guehi M. 3. Dias R. (C) 24. Gvardiol J. 5. Anderson E. 17. Fernandez E. 7. Ndiaye I. 10. Cherki R. 11. Doku J. 9. Haaland E.
Substitutes
6. Barkley R. 40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 10. Buendia E. 27. Goretzka L. 53. Hemmings G. 39. Madjo B. 19. Mbaye I. 5. Mings T.	21. Ait-Nouri R. 32. Bouaddi A. 47. Foden P. 8. Kovacic M. 82. Lewis R. 56. McAidoo R. 33. O'Reilly N. 28. Rulli G. (G) 22. Vitor Reis
Coaches
Emery U.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Jackson N. ⚽, McGinn J. (A),
32', Guehi M. 🟨,
38', Cherki R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Guehi M. ↓, Lewis R. ↑,
46', Cherki R. ↓, Foden P. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽, Ndiaye I. (A),
54', Manzambi J. 🟨,
55', Cash M. 🟨,
59', Alysson ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Jackson N. ⚽, Mbaye I. (A),
66', Manzambi J. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
66', McGinn J. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
69', Ndiaye I. ↓, McAidoo R. ↑,
74', Anderson E. 🟨,
76', McAidoo R. 🟨,
82', Jackson N. ↓, Madjo B. ↑,
82', Joao Gomes ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
83', Madjo B. 🟨,
90+5', Buendia E. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3.

Aston Villa arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Man City is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Aston Villa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Man City has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Man City is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:45 (averaging 0.9:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aston Villa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 9:20 goals (averaging 0.8:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City	8	7	0	1	20:9	11	21
9	Aston Villa	8	3	2	3	9:12	-3	11

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Manchester City: 15.11% Aston Villa: 0.76%

Last Results with these Odds

Manchester City - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 55.36%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aston Villa
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Aston Villa - Viking Stavanger	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
17.10.26	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Aston Villa - Fenerbahçe	6:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Aston Villa - Brentford	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Sevilla - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWTW
- Manchester City
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Manchester City - AEK Athens	5:1 ✺
English Premier League
17.10.26	Manchester City - Ipswich Town	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain	2:4 ✺
English Premier League
11.10.26	Liverpool - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Manchester City - Sunderland	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
24.05.26	Manchester City - Aston Villa	1:2
26.10.25	Aston Villa - Manchester City	1:0
22.04.25	Manchester City - Aston Villa	2:1
21.12.24	Aston Villa - Manchester City	2:1
03.04.24	Manchester City - Aston Villa	4:1
06.12.23	Aston Villa - Manchester City	1:0
12.02.23	Manchester City - Aston Villa	3:1

Upcoming Matches