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Burnley - Manchester City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 34
  • Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday
  • Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)
  • Referee: Madley A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Burnley Manchester City
    Burnley Manchester City
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 17.49 ↑
    (10.03)    		 8.59 ↑
    (6.82)    		 1.15 ↓
    (1.26)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

    • The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Burnley
    5.5%    		Draw
    11.2%    		Manchester City
    83.3%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    9.6% 14.1% 76.3%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester City's recent form is better than expected.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    0% 0% 100%

    Burnley - Manchester City Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +2 - Burnley (2.15) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Man City (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (42 of 42 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Man City (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SlovakiaDubravka M. (G)
      2. EnglandWalker K. (C)
    12. EnglandHumphreys B.
    18. SwedenEkdal H.
      5. FranceEsteve M.
      3. NetherlandsHartman Q.
    17. FranceTchaouna L.
    20. EnglandWard-Prowse J.
    29. EnglandLaurent J.
    11. EnglandAnthony J.
    19. NetherlandsFlemming Z.
    		25. ItalyDonnarumma G. (G)
    27. PortugalNunes M.
    45. UzbekistanKhusanov A.
    15. EnglandGuehi M.
    21. AlgeriaAit-Nouri R.
    20. PortugalSilva B. (C)
    33. EnglandO'Reilly N.
    42. GhanaSemenyo A.
    10. FranceCherki R.
    11. BelgiumDoku J.
      9. NorwayHaaland E.
    Substitutes
    27. AlbaniaBroja A.
    10. EnglandEdwards M.
    16. PortugalFlorentino
      9. SouthFoster L.
    23. BrazilLucas Pires
    31. BelgiumTresor Ndayishimiye M.
      8. FranceUgochukwu L.
    13. GermanyWeiss M. (G)
      4. EnglandWorrall J.
    		  6. NetherlandsAke N.
    47. EnglandFoden P.
      8. CroatiaKovacic M.
      7. EgyptMarmoush O.
    14. SpainNico
      4. NetherlandsReijnders T.
    26. BrazilSavinho
      5. EnglandStones J.
      1. EnglandTrafford J. (G)
    Coaches
         EnglandParker S.
    		     SpainGuardiola P.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 5', 0 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽, Doku J. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 65', Ait-Nouri R. ↓, Nico ↑,
    • 65', Semenyo A. ↓, Savinho ↑,
    • 72', Tchaouna L. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
    • 82', Flemming Z. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
    • 82', Humphreys B. ↓, Florentino ↑,
    • 87', Laurent J. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
    • 87', Anthony J. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,

    Preview

  • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • Man City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.
  • Burnley is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Man City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • In this match, Man City is the undeniable favorite.
  • There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Mejbri H. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Muscle Injury)
  • There will not play in Man City: Dias R. (Muscle Injury) Gvardiol J. (Broken Leg) Rodri (Groin Injury)
  • There are questionable in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 8:63. (average 0.4:3.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:18. (average 0.4:2).

    • Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Manchester City: 17.65%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manchester City550013:5815

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Burnley FC
    English Premier League
    19.04.26 Nottingham Forest - Burnley 4:1 ✺
    11.04.26 Burnley - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:2 ✺
    21.03.26 Fulham - Burnley 3:1 ✺
    14.03.26 Burnley - Bournemouth 0:0 ✺
    03.03.26 Everton - Burnley 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9
    LLLTL
    - Manchester City
    English Premier League
    19.04.26 Manchester City - Arsenal 2:1 ✺
    12.04.26 Chelsea - Manchester City 0:3 ✺
    English FA Cup
    04.04.26 Manchester City - Liverpool 4:0 ✺
    English League Cup
    22.03.26 Arsenal - Manchester City 0:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    17.03.26 Manchester City - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7
    WWWWL
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    27.09.25 Manchester City - Burnley 5:1
    31.01.24 Manchester City - Burnley 3:1
    11.08.23 Burnley - Manchester City 0:3
    English FA Cup
    18.03.23 Manchester City - Burnley 6:0
    English Premier League
    02.04.22 Burnley - Manchester City 0:2
    16.10.21 Manchester City - Burnley 2:0
    03.02.21 Burnley - Manchester City 0:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Burnley FC
    English League Championship
    13.10.26 Burnley - Charlton Athletic ✺
    10.10.26 Watford - Burnley ✺
    - Manchester City
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain ✺
    English Premier League
    11.10.26 Liverpool - Manchester City ✺

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