The best margin for this event is 0.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Manchester United 71.6%
Draw 18.8%
Sevilla 9.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.4%
20.1%
11.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.4%
19.5%
11.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80.2%
7.3%
12.5%
Manchester United - Sevilla Predictions
Users Predictions:
Manchester United will win
(77 of 96 users predict this - 80.21%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.24% – 88.18%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
1st leg.
Man Utd has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a good chance of semis (73%), a chance of final (41%), a chance of win league (23%).
Sevilla has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a chance of semis (27%), a small chance of final (10%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has big quality72, very big importance100, big match rating86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Man Utd is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Sevilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sevilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Man Utd is certain favorite.
There will not play in Man Utd: Garnacho A.
(Foot Injury)
Greenwood M.
(Inactive)
Heaton T.
(Ankle Injury)
Rashford M.
(Muscle Injury)
Shaw L.
(Thigh Injury)
van de Beek D.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sevilla: Corona J.
(Muscle Injury)
Gueye P.
(Inactive)
Jordan J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Our prediction for today's Man Utd to win the game is with odds 1.39.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Man Utd won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Man Utd won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
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