Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 36

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)


	Newport County		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.75
	4.1	3.8	1.77
	4.5	4	1.72
	4.19	3.7	1.72
	4.51	4.06	1.76
	4.2	3.8	1.75
	4.29	3.9	1.74	Watch
	4.2	3.9	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.85)	3.9 ↑ (3.49)	1.74 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
21.9%

Draw
24.1%

Mansfield Town
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

26.7%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

26.1%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Newport County - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Mansfield will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 5. Clarke J. 23. Jameson K. 28. Baker M. 2. Payne L. 24. Wildig A. 17. Bennett S. (C) 8. Morris B. 3. Lewis A. 7. Evans W. 30. Palmer-Houlden S.	1. Pym C. (G) 22. Williams G. 14. Flint A. (C) 24. Brunt L. 6. Cargill B. 8. Clarke O. 25. Reed L. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 20. Nichols T. 10. Maris G. 44. Boateng H.
Substitutes
14. Bright H. 20. Charsley H. 6. Drysdale D. 31. Jephcott L. 26. Maxted J. (G) 11. Waite J. 10. Zanzala O.	7. Akins L. 9. Bowery J. 13. Flinders S. (G) 12. Gale J. 15. Lewis A. 3. McLaughlin S. 16. Quinn S.
Coaches
Coughlan G.	Clough N.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 0.

Recent matches Newport is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mansfield is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Newport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mansfield is a favorite.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Newport won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 20-35.

Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
27.02.24	Harrogate Town - Newport County	1:4 ✺
24.02.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Newport County - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Newport County - Notts County	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Walsall - Newport County	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLWLW
- Mansfield Town
English League Two
24.02.24	Mansfield Town - Salford City	5:1 ✺
17.02.24	Walsall - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
13.02.24	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	9:2 ✺
10.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Mansfield Town	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Mansfield Town - Notts County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.11.23	Mansfield Town - Newport County	2:0
18.04.23	Newport County - Mansfield Town	1:2
25.10.22	Mansfield Town - Newport County	0:0
19.02.22	Newport County - Mansfield Town	1:1
14.08.21	Mansfield Town - Newport County	2:1
09.04.21	Mansfield Town - Newport County	1:1
03.10.20	Newport County - Mansfield Town	2:1

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