Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 21

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)


	Mansfield Town		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.5
	1.8	3.6	4.1
	1.85	3.75	4	Watch
	1.81	3.77	4.63
	1.8	3.77	4.63
	1.8	3.7	4.2
	1.79	3.78	4.16	Watch
	1.76	3.6	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)	3.7 ↓ (3.77)	4.29 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
52.4%

Draw
25.6%

Milton Keynes Dons
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

24.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	4.5%	31.8%

Mansfield Town - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). MK Dons will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Christy James Pym 9. Jordan Bowery 14. Aden Flint 11. Calum Ross MacDonald 24. Lewis Brunt 16. Stephen Quinn 25. Louis Reed 40. Davis Keillor Dunn 15. Aaron Lewis 7. Lucas Akins 18. Rhys Oates	1. Craig MacGillivray 3. Dean Lewington 2. Cameron Norman 5. Warren O'Hora 11. Jack Payne 6. Michael Jordan Williams 21. Daniel Harvie 16. Conor Grant 14. Joe Tomlinson 8. Alex Gilbey 18. Max Dean
Substitutes
6. Baily Cargill 2. Callum Johnson 22. George Benjamin Williams 10. George Thomas Maris 8. Ollie Clarke 13. Scott Flinders 26. Will Swan	28. Dawson Devoy 9. Ellis Harrison 7. Jonathan Leko 30. Matthew Dennis 32. Michael Kelly 10. Mohamed Eisa 15. Tommy Smith
Coaches
Clough N.	Williamson M.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

MK Dons could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mansfield is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
02.03.24	Newport County - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Mansfield Town - Salford City	5:1 ✺
17.02.24	Walsall - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
13.02.24	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	9:2 ✺
10.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Mansfield Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
02.03.24	AFC Wimbledon - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County	3:0 ✺
20.02.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
13.02.24	Bradford City - Milton Keynes Dons	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
04.05.19	Milton Keynes Dons - Mansfield Town	1:0
27.10.18	Mansfield Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1
Club Friendly
21.07.15	Mansfield Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1

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