Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 38

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Prenton Park (Birkenhead)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)


	Tranmere Rovers		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.95
	3.5	3.7	1.93
	3.6	3.75	1.95
	3.89	3.77	1.98
	3.89	3.77	1.95
	3.6	3.7	1.91
	3.67	3.76	1.9	Watch
	3.55	3.65	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.25)	3.71 ↑ (3.43)	1.93 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tranmere Rovers
25.5%

Draw
25.5%

Mansfield Town
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

27%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

26.3%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Tranmere Rovers - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Mansfield Town will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McGee L. (G) 2. O'Connor L. 21. Yarney J. 6. Turnbull J. 27. Wood C. 25. Apter R. 4. Walker B. 8. Hendry R. 7. Morris K. 18. Jennings C. 19. Saunders H.	1. Pym C. (G) 22. Williams G. 14. Flint A. (C) 24. Brunt L. 6. Cargill B. 20. Nichols T. 25. Reed L. 15. Lewis A. 10. Maris G. 26. Swan W. 7. Akins L.
Substitutes
30. Belehouan J. 14. Dennis K. 11. Hawkes J. 23. McAlear R. 13. Murphy J. (G) 9. Norris L. 24. Pike D.	44. Boateng H. 9. Bowery J. 13. Flinders S. (G) 12. Gale J. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 3. McLaughlin S. 16. Quinn S.
Coaches
Adkins N.	Clough N.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mansfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mansfield is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
09.03.24	Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Tranmere Rovers - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
27.02.24	Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Tranmere Rovers - Stockport County	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLLW
- Mansfield Town
English League Two
09.03.24	Mansfield Town - Swindon Town	3:2 ✺
05.03.24	Mansfield Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Newport County - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Mansfield Town - Salford City	5:1 ✺
17.02.24	Walsall - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
28.11.23	Mansfield Town - Tranmere Rovers	2:2
18.02.23	Tranmere Rovers - Mansfield Town	0:2
06.08.22	Mansfield Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:0
11.03.22	Tranmere Rovers - Mansfield Town	3:2
30.10.21	Mansfield Town - Tranmere Rovers	2:0
27.03.21	Tranmere Rovers - Mansfield Town	1:1
12.09.20	Mansfield Town - Tranmere Rovers	0:0

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