The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Juniors 30.4%
Draw 35.1%
Leones del Norte 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
33%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
32%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Juniors's form might have worsened.
Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leones del Norte's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leones del Norte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leones del Norte (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, Coppo T. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Renteria M. ⚽,
90+13', 🟥,
90+13', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 3.
Independiente Jr is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Leones del Norte has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Leones del Norte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Independiente Jr could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente Jr won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Ecuador
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