The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente del Valle 74.1%
Draw 16%
Libertad Loja 10%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.3%
19.4%
9.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.5%
18.6%
9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Ind del Valle (1.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Independiente del Valle will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 4. Espinoza J. 33. Velasco A. 23. Viacava J. 15. Cortez G. 32. Mendez J. (C) 55. Guagua D. 16. Briones R. 8. Ochoa Y. 11. Perello M. 99. Reasco D.
12. Cabezas D. (G) 17. Patta E. 25. Lucas M. 5. Gruezo C. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 11. Batalla H. 63. Valencia C. 7. Zambrano I. (C) 36. Garcia A. 10. Cortez Casierra G. J. 9. Caicedo E.
Substitutes
6. Alcivar J. 50. Angulo J. 12. Bores E. (G) 14. Carabajal M. 20. Gomez A. 9. Gonzalez C. 53. Lerma J. 19. Loor L. 31. Pata E. 17. Rodriguez A. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 10. Sornoza J.
52. Bao A. (G) 70. Branda V. 30. Bravo J. 8. Castro S. 33. Chere A. 49. Coronel D. 19. Corozo B. 23. Guisamano J. 29. Zambrano R.
Coaches
Papa J.
Buch J. P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Lucas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Viacava J. ↓, Carabajal M. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Zambrano I. ⚽, Patta E. (A),
50', Batalla H. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Carabajal M. ⚽, Mendez J. (A),
53', Carabajal M. 🟨,
63', Mendez J. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Ochoa Y. ⚽,
68', Ochoa Y. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
68', Guagua D. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
75', Cortez Casierra G. J. ↓, Branda V. ↑,
75', Caicedo E. ↓, Coronel D. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Branda V. ⚽, Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. (A),
81', Reasco D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
81', Mendez J. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
88', Zambrano I. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Branda V. ⚽, Batalla H. (A),
90+1', Branda V. 🟨,
90+3', Coronel D. 🟨,
90+5', Sornoza J. 🟨,
90+6', Batalla H. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 1.
Ind del Valle is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Libertad is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ind del Valle is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Ind. del Valle
30
24
2
4
73:33
40
74
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente del Valle - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 71.25%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
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Perello M. 
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