Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Perugia		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.25
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	1.9	3.25	3.6
	2.15	2.85	3.3
	2.3	3.07	3.54
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.1	3.3	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.91)	3.14 ↓ (3.26)	3.37 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
43.6%

Draw
29.2%

Mantova
27.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perugia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mantova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Perugia - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Perugia in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mantova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Perugia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.21	Perugia - Arezzo	3:0 ✺
24.01.21	Fano - Perugia	0:0 ✺
17.01.21	Perugia - FeralpiSalò	3:2 ✺
10.01.21	Matelica - Perugia	1:3 ✺
23.12.20	Perugia - Ravenna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWWW
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group B
04.02.21	Mantova - Padova	0:6 ✺
01.02.21	Carpi - Mantova	2:0 ✺
24.01.21	Mantova - Fermana	1:0 ✺
16.01.21	Mantova - Triestina	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Vis Pesaro - Mantova	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.20	Mantova - Perugia	5:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia	✺
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Modena - Mantova	✺

Perugia - Mantova