The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marítimo 53.8%
Draw 27.6%
BSAD 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.4%
28%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.2%
22.1%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marítimo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
74.6%
10.2%
15.3%
Marítimo - BSAD Predictions
Users Predictions:
59 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 44 - 74.6%). BSAD will win (votes: 9 - 15.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 63.5% – 85.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
Marítimo has the most likely position - 9 (12.1%), has project points - 40, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (42.38%), has project points - 27, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (67%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Marítimo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Belenenses is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Belenenses could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Marítimo is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Marítimo to win the game is with odds 1.71.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-7.
Watch
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