Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Maritimo U23		Leiria U23

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.35	2.78
	2.22	3.7	2.86	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.75
	2.19	3.4	2.85	Watch
	2.16	3.5	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.36)	3.45 ↑ (3.33)	2.81 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maritimo U23
41.5%

Draw
26.3%

Leiria U23
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

27.2%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maritimo U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Leiria U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maritimo U23 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria U23 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Maritimo U23 - Leiria U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maritimo U23 will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Maritimo U23 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leiria U23 is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Maritimo U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Leiria U23	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8
20	Maritimo U23	7	0	3	4	5:12	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maritimo U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
14.01.26	Portimonense U23 - Maritimo U23	3:2 ✺
22.12.25	Famalicão U23 - Maritimo U23	6:2 ✺
16.12.25	Maritimo U23 - Vizela U23	2:0 ✺
09.12.25	Rio Ave U23 - Maritimo U23	2:1 ✺
02.12.25	Maritimo U23 - Leixões U23	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL
- Leiria U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
14.01.26	Leiria U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:4 ✺
10.01.26	Gil Vicente U23 - Leiria U23	3:1 ✺
22.12.25	Leiria U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:1 ✺
15.12.25	Leiria U23 - Farense U23	0:1 ✺
09.12.25	Estoril U23 - Leiria U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Maritimo U23 - Leiria U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide