Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Hibernians Ground (Paola)


	Marsaxlokk		Pietà Hotspurs

	1	X	2
	1.24	4.6	12
	1.33	4.4	6
	1.23	5.8	11.14
	1.21	5.85	11.25
	1.32	4.9	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.47)	5.11 ↑ (4.27)	9.56 ↑ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsaxlokk
72.5%

Draw
18%

Pietà Hotspurs
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.4%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

20.4%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsaxlokk's performance.

Pietà Hotspurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pietà Hotspurs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsaxlokk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pietà Hotspurs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League).

Marsaxlokk is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pietà Hotspurs is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Marsaxlokk have a series of guest games.

In this match Marsaxlokk is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Marsaxlokk to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marsaxlokk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsaxlokk FC
Maltese Premier League
11.03.23	Paola Hibernians - Marsaxlokk	1:3 ✺
05.03.23	Birkirkara - Marsaxlokk	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
26.02.23	Paola Hibernians - Marsaxlokk	0:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
18.02.23	Marsaxlokk - Gudja United	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
15.02.23	Santa Lucia - Marsaxlokk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WTWTW
- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Premier League
12.03.23	Pietà Hotspurs - Gudja United	3:1 ✺
04.03.23	Santa Lucia - Pietà Hotspurs	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Pietà Hotspurs - Żebbuġ Rangers	0:2 ✺
12.02.23	Balzan - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
08.02.23	Pietà Hotspurs - San Ġwann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
05.11.22	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsaxlokk	1:1
Maltese Challenge League
30.11.20	Pietà Hotspurs - Marsaxlokk	1:0

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