The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paola Hibernians 27.4%
Draw 27.2%
Marsaxlokk 45.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
24.6%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
23.7%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paola Hibernians's form might have worsened.
Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paola Hibernians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Paola Hibernians - Marsaxlokk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Sacco H. (G) 4. Alfred S. 96. Charleston 27. Cleiton 11. Kristensen B. (C) 70. Lima M. 18. Pablo Alves 44. Pedrao 41. Pedro Cacho 7. Villela L. 14. Xuereb D.
22. Mafoumbi C. (G) 27. Aguirre L. 10. Arias U. 11. Corbalan J. C. 17. Dodo 4. El Hasni O. 25. Minala J. 6. Muscat N. (C) 5. Pepe E. 7. Portelli N. 9. Tsoumou J.
Substitutes
19. Abela L. 8. Attard A. 22. Bonnici D. 1. Branescu L. (G) 24. Camilleri C. (G) 6. Caruana L. 13. Joao Teixeira 9. Miullen 20. Muscat D. 2. Ohaka J. 16. Zammit A.
14. Attard E. 18. Barbara A. 15. Borg I. 24. Fona A. 8. Ghio J. 16. Karamitsios G. 19. Kofi Mensah J. 20. Pace M. 56. Sanchez P. (G) 21. Vella J. 3. Weder
Coaches
Nisevic B.
Potenza V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Villela L. ⚽,
27', Minala J. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Villela L. ⚽,
38', Xuereb D. 🟨,
43', El Hasni O. ↓, Weder ↑,
45+1', Mafoumbi C. 🟥,
45+3', Corbalan J. C. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', Pablo Alves ↓, Attard A. ↑,
65', Lima M. ↓, Bonnici D. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Pedro Cacho (Own goal),
71', Pedro Cacho 🟨,
73', Pedro Cacho ↓, Caruana L. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Tsoumou J. ⚽,
81', Kristensen B. 🟨,
86', Alfred S. ↓, Abela L. ↑,
89', Minala J. ↓, Ghio J. ↑,
89', Arias U. ↓, Attard E. ↑,
89', Portelli N. ↓, Vella J. ↑,
90+2', Dodo 🟨,
90+4', Ghio J. 🟨,
90+4', Xuereb D. 🟨,
90+6', Vella J. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 0.
Recent form of Hibernians has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Marsaxlokk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Marsaxlokk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Hibernians won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Paola Hibernians - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 34.86%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Marsaxlokk - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.51%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Malta
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Sacco H. (G) 
Alfred S. 
Charleston 
Lima M. 
Mafoumbi C. (G) 
Aguirre L. 
El Hasni O. 
Minala J. 
Bonnici D. 
Branescu L. (G) 
Fona A. 
Kofi Mensah J. 
Sanchez P. (G) 
Nisevic B. 
Potenza V. 
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