Match Info

NICARAGUA: Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Masachapa		Matagalpa

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.45	3.5	2.35
	2.54	3.6	2.49
	2.54	3.44	2.49
	2.4	3.5	2.45
	2.49	3.46	2.56	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (3.79)	3.47 ↓ (3.64)	2.47 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Masachapa
36.6%

Draw
26.4%

Matagalpa
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

25.2%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

23.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Masachapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Masachapa's performance.

Matagalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matagalpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Masachapa than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Masachapa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matagalpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Masachapa - Matagalpa Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Masachapa will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Matagalpa will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Navarrete H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Forbes R. 🟥,
61', 1 - 1, Vanegas L. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Toledo J. ⚽,
90+6', Vanegas L. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 8).

The competitors look crappy now.

Matagalpa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Matagalpa is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Masachapa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Masachapa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Masachapa FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
11.04.24	Deportivo Ocotal - Masachapa	3:2 ✺
06.04.24	Masachapa - UNAN Managua	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Sport Sébaco - Masachapa	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Diriangén - Masachapa	4:2 ✺
13.03.24	Masachapa - Managua	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLL
- Matagalpa FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
10.04.24	Matagalpa - Municipal Jalapa	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Matagalpa - Diriangén	2:3 ✺
01.04.24	UNAN Managua - Matagalpa	3:2 ✺
17.03.24	Walter Ferretti - Matagalpa	2:1 ✺
14.03.24	Matagalpa - Real Estelí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
17.02.24	Matagalpa - Masachapa	3:2
29.10.23	Matagalpa - Masachapa	5:0
26.08.23	Masachapa - Matagalpa	2:1

Upcoming Matches