The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mazatlan 32.4%
Draw 27.5%
Querétaro 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
29.3%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
29.6%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mazatlan's form might have worsened.
Querétaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Querétaro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mazatlan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Querétaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
33.3%
25%
Mazatlan - Querétaro Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Querétaro will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mazatlan: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Rodriguez R. (G) 21. Santos S. 4. Diaz J. 5. Almada F. (C) 19. Merolla L. 14. Zaleta M. 11. Barcenas Y. 25. Godinez S. 17. Ovalle J. 7. Dudu 15. Rubio B.
1. Hernandez J. (G) 22. Duarte B. 9. Reyes D. (C) 2. Abascia L. 27. Parra D. 4. Garcia C. 6. Homenchenko S. 14. Unjanque J. 37. Coronel M. 17. Venegas F. 31. Avila A.
Substitutes
13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 9. Arce B. 188. Carrillo L. 16. Esquivel J. 90. Fabio Gomes 28. Hernandez D. 20. Lainez M. 193. Lopez G. 10. Moreno Villegas O. F. 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
25. Allison G. (G) 190. Cazares J. 12. Gomez J. 29. Madrid W. 8. Parra B. 21. Pena F. 26. Perez E. 23. Robles J. 10. Rodriguez L. 15. Villanueva C.
Coaches
Bueno S.
Gonzalez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', Zaleta M. 🟨,
24', Abascia L. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Rubio B. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 1 - 1, Avila A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Godinez S. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
55', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
55', Rubio B. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
65', Unjanque J. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
78', Barcenas Y. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
78', Ovalle J. ↓, Moreno Villegas O. F. ↑,
82', Almada F. 🟨,
88', Duarte B. ↓, Robles J. ↑,
88', Venegas F. ↓, Cazares J. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 2.
Recent form of Mazatlan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Querétaro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Mazatlan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Querétaro: Gruezo E.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C.
(Injury)
Sierra J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Querétaro: Jhojan Julio
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Queretaro
10
6
2
2
15:8
7
20
Last Results with these Odds
Querétaro - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.14%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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Rodriguez R. (G) 
Almada F. (C) 
Barcenas Y. 
Ovalle J. 
Dudu 
Duarte B. 
Garcia C. 
Homenchenko S. 
Unjanque J. 
Arce B. 
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