Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)

Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Venezuela	Inter
World	Pluto TV


	Necaxa		Mazatlan

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.25	5.4	Watch
	1.56	4.61	5.6
	1.58	4.47	5.09	Watch
	1.5	3.9	4.8
	1.55	4.25	5.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.68)	4.28 ↑ (4.1)	5.26 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Necaxa
60.4%

Draw
21.9%

Mazatlan
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

23.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

25%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Necaxa - Mazatlan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Necaxa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Necaxa (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Unsain E. (G) 33. Martinez R. 4. Pena A. (C) 3. Oliveros A. 5. Gutierrez K. 30. Monreal R. 6. Leyva D. 8. Faravelli L. 16. Calderon C. 35. Ruiz J. 9. Badaloni T.	33. Rodriguez R. (G) 5. Almada F. (C) 19. Merolla L. 4. Diaz J. 21. Santos S. 90. Fabio Gomes 25. Godinez S. 14. Zaleta M. 7. Dudu 17. Ovalle J. 15. Rubio B.
Substitutes
10. Almendra A. E. 232. Alonso R. 189. Casas B. 17. Cortez R. 12. Jimenez L. (G) 26. Lara E. 20. Mendez F. 7. Rosero K. 24. Rossano F. 188. Tello I.	27. Adame G. 13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 9. Arce B. 11. Barcenas Y. 202. Ben Rhouma A. 28. Hernandez D. 20. Lainez M. 26. Leyva A. 193. Lopez G. 31. Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
Coaches
Varini M.	Bueno S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Ruiz J. ⚽, Faravelli L. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Ovalle J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Merolla L. 🟨,
55', Diaz J. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Pena A. ⚽, Ruiz J. (A),
66', Ovalle J. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
66', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
69', Badaloni T. ↓, Rosero K. ↑,
75', Godinez S. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
75', Merolla L. ↓, Barcenas Y. ↑,
82', Calderon C. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
82', Fabio Gomes ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
87', Arce B. 🟨,
88', Ruiz J. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
89', Faravelli L. ↓, Tello I. ↑,
90', Martinez R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 2.

Necaxa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Mazatlan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Necaxa is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Necaxa: Carranza J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C. (Injury) Moreno Villegas O. F. (Injury) Sierra J. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	12:20	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Necaxa
Mexican Liga MX
20.03.26	Necaxa - Tijuana	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Puebla - Necaxa	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Necaxa - UNAM	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Pachuca - Necaxa	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Club León - Necaxa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLLL
- Mazatlan FC
Mexican Liga MX
20.03.26	Mazatlan - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Club América - Mazatlan	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Mazatlan - Club León	4:2 ✺
03.03.26	Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan	4:1 ✺
27.02.26	Mazatlan - Pachuca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
07.11.25	Mazatlan - Necaxa	1:1
21.02.25	Necaxa - Mazatlan	3:1
18.09.24	Mazatlan - Necaxa	0:0
01.03.24	Mazatlan - Necaxa	2:1
05.11.23	Necaxa - Mazatlan	4:0
17.03.23	Mazatlan - Necaxa	0:1
23.09.22	Necaxa - Mazatlan	2:2

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