Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Corregidora (Querétaro)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Querétaro		Necaxa

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.75	Watch
	2.38	3.35	2.82	Watch
	2.47	3.6	2.94
	2.33	3.49	2.97	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.57	3.49	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.29)	3.41 ↑ (3.18)	2.82 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Querétaro
39.1%

Draw
27.6%

Necaxa
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28.6%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Querétaro - Necaxa Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Querétaro will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Necaxa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hernandez J. (G) 22. Duarte B. 9. Reyes D. (C) 2. Abascia L. 27. Parra D. 4. Garcia C. 6. Homenchenko S. 14. Unjanque J. 37. Coronel M. 7. Jhojan Julio 31. Avila A.	22. Unsain E. (G) 33. Martinez R. 4. Pena A. (C) 3. Oliveros A. 5. Gutierrez K. 30. Monreal R. 6. Leyva D. 8. Faravelli L. 16. Calderon C. 9. Badaloni T. 35. Ruiz J.
Substitutes
25. Allison G. (G) 55. Carcelen Carabali M. A. 190. Cazares J. 12. Gomez J. 8. Parra B. 26. Perez E. 23. Robles J. 10. Rodriguez L. 17. Venegas F. 15. Villanueva C.	10. Almendra A. E. 232. Alonso R. 189. Casas B. 17. Cortez R. 12. Jimenez L. (G) 26. Lara E. 20. Mendez F. 210. Palacios J. 24. Rossano F. 188. Tello I.
Coaches
Gonzalez E.	Varini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', Monreal R. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Homenchenko S. ⚽, Garcia C. (A),
39', Jhojan Julio ↓, Venegas F. ↑,
45+5', 2 - 0, Coronel M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Leyva D. ↓, Almendra A. E. ↑,
53', Martinez R. ↓, Lara E. ↑,
53', Calderon C. ↓, Tello I. ↑,
54', Duarte B. 🟨,
60', Parra D. ↓, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↑,
60', Unjanque J. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Badaloni T. ⚽, Oliveros A. (A),
70', Gutierrez K. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
75', Faravelli L. 🟥,
81', 3 - 1, Coronel M. ⚽, Rodriguez L. (A),
84', Ruiz J. 🟨,
85', Oliveros A. 🟥,
89', Garcia C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
89', Coronel M. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
89', Monreal R. ↓, Mendez F. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Necaxa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Querétaro: Gruezo E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Necaxa: Carranza J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Querétaro: Allison G. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Queretaro	10	6	2	2	15:8	7	20
17	Necaxa	10	2	2	6	12:20	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Querétaro FC
Mexican Liga MX
07.04.26	Querétaro - Juárez	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Querétaro - Toluca	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Atlas - Querétaro	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tigres UANL - Querétaro	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Querétaro - Club América	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TWTTL
- Club Necaxa
Mexican Liga MX
03.04.26	Necaxa - Mazatlan	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Necaxa - Tijuana	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Puebla - Necaxa	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Necaxa - UNAM	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Pachuca - Necaxa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
18.07.25	Necaxa - Querétaro	3:1
28.03.25	Necaxa - Querétaro	2:0
27.09.24	Querétaro - Necaxa	0:0
02.05.24	Necaxa - Querétaro	1:1 penalties
16.02.24	Querétaro - Necaxa	1:1
Club Friendly
30.12.23	Querétaro - Necaxa	1:1
Mexican Liga MX
27.08.23	Necaxa - Querétaro	0:1

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