Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki		Pelikan Łowicz

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.70	3.50
	1.85	3.5	3.35
	1.78	3.87	3.41
	1.82	3.86	3.51	Watch
	1.76	3.8	3.35
	1.78	3.68	3.64	Watch
	1.84	3.56	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)	3.71 ↑ (3.56)	3.43 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki
49.7%

Draw
24.2%

Pelikan Łowicz
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

24.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Pelikan Łowicz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Koper O. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Sauczek C. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Rybus M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
70', 1 - 3, Rybus M. ⚽,
90', 1 - 4, Rybus M. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd and 4th).

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Mazovia holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pelikan	12	7	2	3	21:14	7	23
4	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	12	6	3	3	28:22	6	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.10.26	Warta Sieradz - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	3:2 ✺
11.09.26	Widzew Łódź II - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWWW
- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.10.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Widzew Łódź II	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Pelikan Łowicz	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWLW

Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide