The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Western United 29.8%
Draw 27.1%
Melbourne City 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
26.8%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
27.5%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western United's form might have worsened.
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
13.3%
66.7%
Western United - Melbourne City Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Western United will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 54% โ 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Western United (votes: 2 - 50%). Melbourne City (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Sutton M. (G) 13. Russell T. 6. Imai T. 30. Leonard D. 17. Garuccio B. (C) 77. Danzaki R. 23. Bozinovski R. 32. Thurgate A. 10. Grimaldi M. 9. Ibusuki H. 24. Ruhs M.
33. Beach P. (G) 2. Talbot C. 22. Ferreyra G. 27. Trewin K. 16. Behich A. (C) 21. Lopane A. 19. Schreiber Z. 10. Cohen Y. 30. Kuen A. 23. Tilio M. 17. Caputo M.
Substitutes
19. Botic N. 44. Lauton J. 5. Lavale O. 7. Najjarine R. 22. Vidmar K. 70. Vonja M. (G) 20. Walatee A.
7. Leckie M. 35. Memeti M. 18. Ochsenham D. (G) 47. Rahmani K. 36. Shillington H. 6. Ugarkovic S. 41. Wong L.
Coaches
Aloisi J.
Vidmar A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Ruhs M. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Ferreyra G. ⚽, Tilio M. (A),
28', Bozinovski R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Cohen Y. ⚽, Lopane A. (A),
58', Schreiber Z. 🟨,
60', Lopane A. ↓, Leckie M. ↑,
65', Grimaldi M. ↓, Walatee A. ↑,
65', Ibusuki H. ↓, Lavale O. ↑,
67', Kuen A. ↓, Ugarkovic S. ↑,
67', Caputo M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
72', Danzaki R. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
72', Ruhs M. ↓, Botic N. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Leckie M. ⚽, Cohen Y. (A),
82', Ferreyra G. 🟨,
84', Cohen Y. ↓, Rahmani K. ↑,
84', Schreiber Z. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
86', Thurgate A. 🟨,
89', Ugarkovic S. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western United won 1.
Western United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Melbourne City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Western United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Western United has had a series of home games.
Melbourne City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Melbourne City: Jeggo J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nabbout A.
(Knee Injury)
Necovski J.
(Knee Injury)
Nieuwenhuizen J.
(Knee Injury)
Souprayen S.
(Calf Injury)
Ugarkovic S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J.
(Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Western United won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Western United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Western United - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 36.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Sutton M. (G) 
Imai T. 
Ferreyra G. 
Cohen Y. 
Kuen A. 
