Match Info

Date: 16 September 2020, Wednesday


	Miami		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.5
	2.34	3.4	2.6
	2.51	3.49	2.68
	2.45	3.4	2.6
	2.41	3.62	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (3.22)	3.44 ↑ (3.3)	2.56 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami
37.6%

Draw
26.6%

Birmingham City
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

27.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

21.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami's performance.

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+22.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Miami - Birmingham City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Miami has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Birmingham has a good chance of playoffs (94%), has a chance of qtrs (39%), has a chance of semis (16%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Recent matches Miami is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Birmingham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Miami could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Birmingham have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
12.09.20	Atlanta United II - Miami	1:2 ✺
05.09.20	Miami - Charleston Battery	1:1 ✺
02.09.20	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami	3:0 ✺
26.08.20	Charleston Battery - Miami	3:1 ✺
23.08.20	Miami - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLLW
- Birmingham City
USL Championship
12.09.20	Birmingham City - Charlotte Independence	1:3 ✺
English League Championship
12.09.20	Birmingham City - Brentford	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
05.09.20	Memphis 901 - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
05.09.20	Birmingham City - Cambridge United	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
02.09.20	Birmingham City - North Carolina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTLL

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