Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 20

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free


	Metz		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	7	Watch
	1.53	3.9	6.25
	1.55	4	6
	1.55	3.95	6.96
	1.62	3.7	5.59	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5.8
	1.61	3.85	6.41	Watch
	1.55	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.79)	3.88 ↑ (3.49)	6.25 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
60.4%

Draw
24.4%

Grenoble
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

26.8%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

28.7%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metz's performance.

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grenoble might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Metz - Grenoble Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). Grenoble will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Bodart A. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 15. Lo A. 3. Udol M. 21. Stambouli B. 7. Hein G. 20. Deminguet J. 18. Gueye I. 10. Diallo P. A. 14. Sabaly C.	13. Diop M. (G) 4. Diarra M. 24. Mouyokolo L. 21. Tchaptchet A. 8. Benet J. 29. Paquiez G. 25. Valls T. 70. Touray S. 27. Xantippe M. 38. Jabbari A. 9. Kerouedan A.
Substitutes
99. Asoro J. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 2. Colin M. 36. Jallow A. 16. Oukidja A. (G) 9. Sane I. 22. Van Den Kerkhof K.	16. Allain B. (G) 11. Bangre M. 17. Delos S. 31. Mbemba N. 28. Olaitan J. 10. Sylvestre E. 87. Zahui N.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Rizzetto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Kerouedan A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Diallo P. A. ⚽, Deminguet J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Sabaly C. ⚽, Kouao K. (A),
62', Gueye I. 🟨,
63', Kerouedan A. ↓, Olaitan J. ↑,
63', Touray S. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
78', Jabbari A. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
78', Xantippe M. ↓, Delos S. ↑,
78', Gueye I. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
78', Diallo P. A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
86', Sabaly C. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
89', Benet J. ↓, Mbemba N. ↑,
90+1', Hein G. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Asoro J. ⚽, Udol M. (A),

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Metz is a favorite.

There will not play in Grenoble: Elphege N. (Injury) Nestor L. (Knee Injury) Rigo D. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Metz won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
18.01.25	Metz - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Lorient - Metz	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Metz - Pau	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.24	Troyes - Metz	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
14.12.24	Annecy - Metz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTTLT
- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
17.01.25	Grenoble - Martigues	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Caen - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
03.01.25	Grenoble - Bastia	3:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Cannes - Grenoble	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
14.12.24	Red Star - Grenoble	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.10.24	Grenoble - Metz	2:0
13.05.23	Metz - Grenoble	1:0
30.12.22	Grenoble - Metz	0:1
23.04.19	Metz - Grenoble	1:1
01.12.18	Grenoble - Metz	1:1
French Coupe de la Ligue
14.08.18	Metz - Grenoble	2:1

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