Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami, FL)

Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Miami		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.4	2
	2.62	3.45	2.38
	2.72	3.63	2.46
	2.82	3.47	2.34	Watch
	2.64	3.42	2.39	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.45)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	2.38 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami
34.2%

Draw
26.8%

El Paso Locomotive
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-5%)

Miami - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Hamid B. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 13. Knutson D. 77. Rodriguez F. 4. Cardona N. 8. Romero M. 22. Celeste F. 30. Vazquez C. 10. Blanco S. 7. Gavilanes A. 9. Bonfiglio F.	23. Waite J. (G) 18. Quezada A. 25. Ortiz A. 21. Twumasi K. 12. Ruiz R. 8. Daroma F. 6. Calvillo E. 16. Gabriel Torres 13. Cabrera A. 14. Avila R. 10. Moreno A.
Substitutes
35. Bent B. 16. Diaz G. 93. Garcia C. 19. Lawrence M. 26. Melano L. 36. Naranjo A. 31. Rodriguez F. (G) 11. Veron D. 18. Zarate T.	3. Ackwei W. 30. Coronado R. 24. Diaz M. 1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 31. Rodriguez E. 11. Sorto C. 5. Tony Alfaro
Coaches
Maddoni G.	Cabrera W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Cabrera A. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
24', Blanco S. 🟨,
29', Quezada A. 🟨,
36', Blanco S. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
42', Cardona N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Rodriguez F. ↓, Garcia C. ↑,
61', Celeste F. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
61', Vazquez C. ↓, Melano L. ↑,
71', Gabriel Torres ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
71', Sorto C. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
77', Veron D. 🟨,
84', Gavilanes A. ↓, Lawrence M. ↑,
90+1', Moreno A. ↓, Ackwei W. ↑,
90+7', Veron D. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Miami is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

El Paso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
06.08.25	Hartford Athletic - Miami	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Miami	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Miami - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
19.07.25	Charleston Battery - Miami	3:0 ✺
12.07.25	Miami - Lexington	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLLT
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
02.08.25	El Paso Locomotive - Las Vegas Lights	6:0 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Union Omaha - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
12.07.25	Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive	3:0 ✺
04.07.25	El Paso Locomotive - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
10.08.24	El Paso Locomotive - Miami	2:1
05.08.23	Miami - El Paso Locomotive	4:0

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