Match Info

Championship - Round 14

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Leicester City		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.12	3.54	3.35	Watch
	2.2	3.56	3.49
	2.07	3.62	3.34	Watch
	2.18	3.44	3.54	Watch
	2.21	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.07)	3.48 ↓ (3.62)	3.39 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
44.5%

Draw
27.4%

Middlesbrough
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26.1%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.6%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Leicester City - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 18.1% – 56.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Middlesbrough (2.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Middlesbrough (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Middlesbrough (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 5. Okoli C. 23. Vestergaard J. (C) 4. Nelson B. 33. Thomas L. 8. Winks H. 22. Skipp O. 7. Fatawu I. 6. James J. 9. Ayew J. 18. Carranza J.	31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 12. Ayling L. (C) 5. Jones A. 3. Targett M. 18. Morris A. 7. Hackney H. 11. Whittaker M. 9. Conway T. 10. Burgzorg D. 13. Strelec D.
Substitutes
31. Begovic A. (G) 17. Choudhury H. 20. Daka P. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 3. Faes W. 10. Mavididi S. 28. Monga J. 21. Pereira R. 24. Soumare B.	24. Bangura A. 16. Browne A. 25. Edmundson G. 27. Hansen S. 8. McGree R. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 19. Nypan S. 20. Sene M. K. 22. Silvera S.
Coaches
Cifuentes M.	Edwards R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Fatawu I. 🟨,
45+3', Brittain C. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Ayew J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Stolarczyk J. ↓, Begovic A. ↑,
49', James J. 🟨,
59', Ayew J. 🟨,
61', Carranza J. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
63', Strelec D. ↓, McGree R. ↑,
63', Burgzorg D. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
67', Skipp O. 🟨,
69', James J. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
69', Thomas L. 🟨,
75', Hackney H. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
85', Fatawu I. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
85', Skipp O. ↓, Choudhury H. ↑,
85', Whittaker M. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
85', Targett M. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
90', Jones A. 🟥,
90+3', Daka P. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Ayling L. ⚽, Brittain C. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 1.

Leicester is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Middlesbrough's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leicester could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Leicester: Ramsey A. (Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Inactive) Kante A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Leicester: Monga J. (Illness)

There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League Championship
01.11.25	Leicester City - Blackburn Rovers	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Millwall - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Hull City - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Leicester City - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Swansea City - Leicester City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTW
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
01.11.25	Watford - Middlesbrough	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Middlesbrough - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
22.10.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Middlesbrough	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Portsmouth - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
17.02.24	Leicester City - Middlesbrough	1:2
11.11.23	Middlesbrough - Leicester City	1:0
English Premier League
02.01.17	Middlesbrough - Leicester City	0:0
26.11.16	Leicester City - Middlesbrough	2:2
English League Championship
25.01.14	Leicester City - Middlesbrough	2:0
03.08.13	Middlesbrough - Leicester City	1:2
18.01.13	Leicester City - Middlesbrough	1:0

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