Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 25

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, CANAL+ Sport 3


	Miedź Legnica		Piast Gliwice

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3	2.3
	3.3	3	2.35
	3.2	2.95	2.33
	3.49	3.07	2.38
	3.3	2.8	2.25	Watch
	3.44	2.96	2.33	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.81)	3.02 ↓ (3.16)	2.31 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
28.4%

Draw
31.1%

Piast Gliwice
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	45.5%	36.4%

Miedź Legnica - Piast Gliwice Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Piast will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 15).

Recent matches Miedź is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Piast is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Miedź could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Piast will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Miedź won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Miedź won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.03.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Miedź Legnica	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Miedź Legnica - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
27.02.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Miedź Legnica	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Płock	2:1 ✺
13.02.23	Warta Poznań - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLWT
- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.03.23	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
03.03.23	Stal Mielec - Piast Gliwice	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Piast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
05.09.22	Piast Gliwice - Miedź Legnica	2:1
Club Friendly
06.07.19	Piast Gliwice - Miedź Legnica	7:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.03.19	Piast Gliwice - Miedź Legnica	2:1
05.10.18	Miedź Legnica - Piast Gliwice	2:2
Club Friendly
02.07.14	Piast Gliwice - Miedź Legnica	1:0

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