Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	14:45	ESPN
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	14:45	Max
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Colombia	12:45	ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	18:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	18:45	beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	18:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	23:15	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	19:45	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	02:45	Wowow Prime
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Malta	18:45	TSN Malta 2
Mexico	11:45	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	03:45	TVWan Sports
Peru	12:45	ESPN
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 2, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1
Romania	19:45	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
South Africa	19:45	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	02:45	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	01:45	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
Turkey	20:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3, Virgin TV Go app
Usa	12:45	Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	13:45	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus, TV 360
International	17:45	Disney+


	Milan		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	10
	1.28	6	9.75
				Watch
				Watch
	1.29	5.8	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.57)	5.93 ↑ (4.16)	9.92 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
74.4%

Draw
16%

Feyenoord
9.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.3%

23.5%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23.5%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milan's performance.

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	11.5%	9.4%

Milan - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: Milan will win (71 of 89 users predict this - 79.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.44% – 88.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 32. Walker K. 28. Thiaw M. 31. Pavlovic S. 19. Hernandez T. 80. Musah Y. 14. Reijnders T. 11. Pulisic C. 79. Joao Felix 10. Leao R. 7. Gimenez S.	22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 26. Read G. 3. Beelen T. 33. Hancko D. (C) 5. Smal G. 27. Milambo A. 7. Moder J. 16. Bueno H. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 49. Redmond Z. 14. Paixao I.
Substitutes
90. Abraham T. 33. Bartesaghi D. 73. Camarda F. 21. Chukwueze S. 29. Fofana Y. 46. Gabbia M. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 42. Terracciano F. 23. Tomori F. 96. Torriani L. (G)	21. Andreev P. (G) 19. Carranza J. 48. Giersthove D. 17. Ivanusec L. 64. Ka I. (G) 20. Mitchell J. 38. Osman I. 57. Sliti A. 10. Stengs C. 44. van den Elshout T. 25. Zand S.
Coaches
Conceicao S.	Bosschaart P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Gimenez S. ⚽, Thiaw M. (A),
22', Moder J. 🟨,
44', Hernandez T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Hernandez T. 🟨,
63', Pulisic C. ↓, Bartesaghi D. ↑,
64', Redmond Z. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
71', Gimenez S. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Carranza J. ⚽, Bueno H. (A),
75', Bueno H. ↓, Stengs C. ↑,
76', Joao Felix 🟨,
83', Musah Y. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
83', Reijnders T. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
88', Hadj Moussa A. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
90+3', Mitchell J. 🟨,
90+7', Read G. 🟥,
90+7', Leao R. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Milan is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Feyenoord is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Milan is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Bondo W. (Inactive) Emerson Royal (Muscle Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Jimenez A. (Inactive) Loftus-Cheek R. (Thigh Injury) Sottil R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Feyenoord: Bijlow J. (Knee Injury) Bossin L. (Inactive) Carrillo S. (Inactive) Hartman Q. (Inactive) Lotomba J. (Broken Leg) Nadje C. (Foot Injury) Nieuwkoop B. (Injury) Stengs C. (Hamstring Injury) Targhalline O. (Inactive) Trauner G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Feyenoord: Hwang In-Beom (Injury) Timber Q. (Knee Injury) Ueda A. (Muscle Injury) Zerrouki R. (Leg Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Milan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
15.02.25	Milan - Verona	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.02.25	Feyenoord - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.02.25	Empoli - Milan	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
05.02.25	Milan - Roma	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.02.25	Milan - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWT
- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
15.02.25	NAC Breda - Feyenoord	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.02.25	Feyenoord - Milan	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
08.02.25	Feyenoord - Sparta Rotterdam	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
05.02.25	PSV Eindhoven - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
02.02.25	Ajax - Feyenoord	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
12.02.25	Feyenoord - Milan	1:0

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