Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Max
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	Wowow Prime
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3, Virgin TV Go app
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+


	Milan		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	10
	1.28	6	9.75
				Watch
				Watch
	1.29	5.8	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.57)	5.93 ↑ (4.16)	9.92 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Milan
74.4%

Draw
16%

Feyenoord
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

23.5%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23.5%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milan's performance.

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	11.5%	9.4%

Milan - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: Milan will win (71 of 89 users predict this - 79.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.44% – 88.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 32. Walker K. 28. Thiaw M. 31. Pavlovic S. 19. Hernandez T. 80. Musah Y. 14. Reijnders T. 11. Pulisic C. 79. Joao Felix 10. Leao R. 7. Gimenez S.	22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 26. Read G. 3. Beelen T. 33. Hancko D. (C) 5. Smal G. 27. Milambo A. 7. Moder J. 16. Bueno H. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 49. Redmond Z. 14. Paixao I.
Substitutes
90. Abraham T. 33. Bartesaghi D. 73. Camarda F. 21. Chukwueze S. 29. Fofana Y. 46. Gabbia M. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 42. Terracciano F. 23. Tomori F. 96. Torriani L. (G)	21. Andreev P. (G) 19. Carranza J. 48. Giersthove D. 17. Ivanusec L. 64. Ka I. (G) 20. Mitchell J. 38. Osman I. 57. Sliti A. 10. Stengs C. 44. van den Elshout T. 25. Zand S.
Coaches
Conceicao S.	Bosschaart P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Gimenez S. ⚽, Thiaw M. (A),
22', Moder J. 🟨,
44', Hernandez T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Hernandez T. 🟨,
63', Pulisic C. ↓, Bartesaghi D. ↑,
64', Redmond Z. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
71', Gimenez S. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Carranza J. ⚽, Bueno H. (A),
75', Bueno H. ↓, Stengs C. ↑,
76', Joao Felix 🟨,
83', Musah Y. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
83', Reijnders T. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
88', Hadj Moussa A. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
90+3', Mitchell J. 🟨,
90+7', Read G. 🟥,
90+7', Leao R. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Milan is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Feyenoord is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Milan is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Bondo W. (Inactive) Emerson Royal (Muscle Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Jimenez A. (Inactive) Loftus-Cheek R. (Thigh Injury) Sottil R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Feyenoord: Bijlow J. (Knee Injury) Bossin L. (Inactive) Carrillo S. (Inactive) Hartman Q. (Inactive) Lotomba J. (Broken Leg) Nadje C. (Foot Injury) Nieuwkoop B. (Injury) Stengs C. (Hamstring Injury) Targhalline O. (Inactive) Trauner G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Feyenoord: Hwang In-Beom (Injury) Timber Q. (Knee Injury) Ueda A. (Muscle Injury) Zerrouki R. (Leg Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Milan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
15.02.25	Milan - Verona	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.02.25	Feyenoord - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.02.25	Empoli - Milan	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
05.02.25	Milan - Roma	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.02.25	Milan - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWT
- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
15.02.25	NAC Breda - Feyenoord	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.02.25	Feyenoord - Milan	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
08.02.25	Feyenoord - Sparta Rotterdam	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
05.02.25	PSV Eindhoven - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
02.02.25	Ajax - Feyenoord	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
12.02.25	Feyenoord - Milan	1:0

Upcoming Matches