Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: De Kuip (Rotterdam)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3
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Brazil	Max
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
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China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	Shabake 3, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Japan	Wowow Prime
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Macao	TDM TV
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Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
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Poland	Canal+ Extra 1, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+


	Feyenoord		Milan

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.9	1.8
	4.1	4	1.85	Watch
	4.3	3.96	1.85
	4.23	3.99	1.83	Watch
	3.9	3.75	1.85
	4.25	3.97	1.87
	4.1	3.9	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (2.94)	3.92 ↑ (3.62)	1.84 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feyenoord
23.2%

Draw
24.5%

Milan
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26.5%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

26.7%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Feyenoord's form might have worsened.

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Feyenoord, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.4%	6.7%	82.8%

Feyenoord - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 132 users predict this event. Feyenoord will win (votes: 14 - 10.6%). Milan will win (votes: 110 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 6.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 76.9% – 89.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 26. Read G. 3. Beelen T. 33. Hancko D. 5. Smal G. 7. Moder J. 27. Milambo A. 8. Timber Q. (C) 23. Hadj Moussa A. 9. Ueda A. 14. Paixao I.	16. Maignan M. (C) 32. Walker K. 28. Thiaw M. 31. Pavlovic S. 19. Hernandez T. 29. Fofana Y. 14. Reijnders T. 11. Pulisic C. 79. Joao Felix 10. Leao R. 7. Gimenez S.
Substitutes
21. Andreev P. (G) 16. Bueno H. 19. Carranza J. 48. Giersthove D. 17. Ivanusec L. 64. Ka I. (G) 20. Mitchell J. 38. Osman I. 49. Redmond Z. 44. van den Elshout T. 25. Zand S.	90. Abraham T. 33. Bartesaghi D. 73. Camarda F. 21. Chukwueze S. 46. Gabbia M. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 42. Terracciano F. 23. Tomori F. 96. Torriani L. (G)
Coaches
Bosschaart P.	Conceicao S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Paixao I. ⚽, Smal G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ueda A. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
51', Thiaw M. 🟨,
57', Smal G. 🟨,
60', Thiaw M. ↓, Tomori F. ↑,
60', Pulisic C. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
62', Milambo A. 🟨,
70', Smal G. ↓, Bueno H. ↑,
79', Timber Q. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
79', Read G. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
82', Gimenez S. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
83', Leao R. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
85', Paixao I. ↓, Ivanusec L. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Feyenoord is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Milan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Milan will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Feyenoord: Andreev P. (Inactive) Bijlow J. (Knee Injury) Bossin L. (Inactive) Carrillo S. (Inactive) Hartman Q. (Inactive) Lotomba J. (Broken Leg) Moder J. (Inactive) Nadje C. (Foot Injury) Stengs C. (Hamstring Injury) Targhalline O. (Inactive) Trauner G. (Injury) Zerrouki R. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Milan: Bondo W. (Thigh Injury) Emerson Royal (Muscle Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Thigh Injury) Musah Y. (Red Card)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
08.02.25	Feyenoord - Sparta Rotterdam	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
05.02.25	PSV Eindhoven - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
02.02.25	Ajax - Feyenoord	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Lille - Feyenoord	6:1 ✺
22.01.25	Feyenoord - Bayern Munich	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLLLW
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
08.02.25	Empoli - Milan	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
05.02.25	Milan - Roma	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.02.25	Milan - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Milan	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
26.01.25	Milan - Parma	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTLW

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