Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 22 January 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	17:00	ESPN 4
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports Golf
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	17:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 3
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 4
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
India	01:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	14:00	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 6
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 3
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 3
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 8
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	15:00	CBS, Flow Sports 1, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Sport, TV 360
International	20:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Milan		Girona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	4.25	5.62
				Watch
	1.62	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.45)	4.13 ↓ (4.72)	5.31 ↓ (6.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Milan
59%

Draw
23.1%

Girona
17.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.3%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

19.4%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milan's form might have worsened.

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.7%	10.8%	13.5%

Milan - Girona Predictions

Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 55 - 75.3%). Girona will win (votes: 10 - 13.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 65.4% – 85.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 22. Emerson Royal 31. Pavlovic S. 46. Gabbia M. 19. Hernandez T. 29. Fofana Y. 4. Bennacer I. 80. Musah Y. 14. Reijnders T. 10. Leao R. 7. Morata A.	13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 16. Frances A. 5. Lopez D. (C) 18. Krejci L. 17. Blind D. 21. Herrera Y. 14. Romeu O. 6. van de Beek D. 8. Tsygankov V. 20. Gil B. 9. Ruiz A.
Substitutes
90. Abraham T. 33. Bartesaghi D. 2. Calabria D. 73. Camarda F. 17. Okafor N. 11. Pulisic C. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 42. Terracciano F. 96. Torriani L. (G) 18. Zeroli K.	36. Artero R. 10. Asprilla Y. 28. Clua Oya S. 11. Danjuma A. 15. Juanpe 25. Lopez P. (G) 4. Martinez A. 23. Martin I. 24. Portu 22. Solis Romero J. E. 7. Stuani C.
Coaches
Conceicao S.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Emerson Royal ↓, Calabria D. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Leao R. ⚽, Bennacer I. (A),
41', Fofana Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Gil B. 🟨,
64', Morata A. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
72', Tsygankov V. ↓, Martin I. ↑,
72', Ruiz A. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
72', Gil B. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
72', van de Beek D. ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,
75', Bennacer I. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
75', Reijnders T. ↓, Terracciano F. ↑,
77', Herrera Y. ↓, Portu ↑,
80', Hernandez T. 🟨,
82', Martin I. 🟨,

Preview

Milan is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Girona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Milan have a series of guest games.

In this match Milan is a favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Chukwueze S. (Thigh Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Thigh Injury) Okafor N. (Injury) Thiaw M. (Injury) Tomori F. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Girona: Miovski B. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Milan: Morata A. (Muscle Injury) Pulisic C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Girona: Danjuma A. (Illness) Gutierrez M. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
18.01.25	Juventus - Milan	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Como - Milan	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Milan - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
Italian Super Cup
06.01.25	Inter Milan - Milan	2:3 ✺
03.01.25	Juventus - Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWTWW
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
18.01.25	Girona - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Deportivo Alavés - Girona	0:1 ✺
20.12.24	Girona - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Mallorca - Girona	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.24	Girona - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL

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