Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	14:45	ESPN
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	21:45	CBC Sport
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	14:45	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
China	01:45	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	12:45	ESPN
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	18:45	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:45	CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	18:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	23:15	Sony LIV
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	19:45	ONE Sport
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	02:45	Wowow Prime
Kosovo	18:45	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Malta	18:45	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	11:45	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Sports
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Peru	12:45	ESPN
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 1
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 2
South America	—	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	20:45	TRT Spor
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:45	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Usa	12:45	Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	13:45	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	TV 360
International	17:45	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	Girona		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	6.5	5	1.44
	6.5	4.8	1.44
	7.1	5.05	1.43	Watch
	7.13	5.03	1.44
	7.01	4.99	1.45	Watch
	7.5	5	1.4
	6.86	5.07	1.48
	7.1	5.05	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.96 ↑ (5.71)	5 ↑ (4.48)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: UniMas

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Current Win Probability

Girona
13.8%

Draw
19.3%

Liverpool
66.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.8%

21.4%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

20.4%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liverpool's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	7%	87.7%

Girona - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (100 of 112 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.56% – 95.02%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 16. Frances A. 15. Juanpe (C) 18. Krejci L. 17. Blind D. 6. van de Beek D. 14. Romeu O. 3. Gutierrez M. 10. Asprilla Y. 20. Gil B. 11. Danjuma A.	1. Alisson (G) 66. Alexander-Arnold T. 2. Gomez J. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 26. Robertson A. 8. Szoboszlai D. 38. Gravenberch R. 17. Jones C. 11. Salah M. 9. Nunez D. 7. Diaz L.
Substitutes
28. Clua Oya S. 42. Garcia L. (G) 31. Jastin G. 29. Kim M. 5. Lopez D. 25. Lopez P. (G) 4. Martinez A. 23. Martin I. 24. Portu 9. Ruiz A. 22. Solis Romero J. E. 7. Stuani C.	19. Elliott H. 3. Endo W. 18. Gakpo C. 56. Jaros V. (G) 62. Kelleher C. (G) 53. McConnell J. 77. Norris J. 78. Quansah J.
Coaches
Michel	Slot A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Diaz L. 🟨,
55', Romeu O. 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Salah M. (Pen),
71', Nunez D. ↓, Gakpo C. ↑,
71', Danjuma A. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
71', Gil B. ↓, Portu ↑,
76', Jones C. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
76', van de Beek D. ↓, Martin I. ↑,
76', Blind D. ↓, Solis Romero J. E. ↑,
80', Gomez J. 🟨,
87', Frances A. 🟨,
88', Diaz L. ↓, Endo W. ↑,
90+3', Portu 🟨,

Preview

Girona is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Liverpool in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Liverpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Liverpool is certain favorite.

There will not play in Girona: Herrera Y. (Muscle Injury) Tsygankov V. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Bradley C. (Muscle Injury) Konate I. (Knee Injury) Mac Allister A. (Yellow Cards) Tsimikas K. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Girona: Solis Romero J. E. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Liverpool: Chiesa F. (Lacking Match Fitness)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.24	Girona - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	UD Logroñés - Girona	1:0 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.12.24	Villarreal - Girona	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Sturm Graz - Girona	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.11.24	Girona - Espanyol	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLW
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
04.12.24	Newcastle United - Liverpool	3:3 ✺
01.12.24	Liverpool - Manchester City	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Liverpool - Real Madrid	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.11.24	Southampton - Liverpool	2:3 ✺
09.11.24	Liverpool - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWW

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